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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD dives towards the 50-DMA, forming a bearish-engulfing candle pattern

  • Silver price is upward biased from a monthly chart perspective.
  • In the weekly chart, XAG/USD remains below its 200-week EMA, downward biased.
  • XAG/USD daily chart illustrates silver as neutral-to-downwards, though a bearish-engulfing candle pattern suggests a leg-down is on the cards.

Silver price edges lower during Monday’s North American session, down by 2.40% courtesy of US dollar strength, despite falling US Treasury bond yields, ahead of the release of the last FOMC monetary policy minutes. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD formed a bearish-engulfing candle pattern, trading at $20.23.

Silver Price Analysis (XAG/USD): Technical outlook

The white metal outlook looks more positive than negative from a monthly chart perspective. July’s price action formed a dragonfly-doji in a crowded area with the 50, 100, and 200-monthly MAs lying around the $18.48-$20.17 region, which could pave the way for further gains. On the topside, the 20-month EMA at $23.81 might cap further XAG/USD gains.

XAG/USD Monthly chart

In the meantime, the XAG/USD weekly chart portrays the non-yielding metal struggling at the 200-week MA at $20.60. Nevertheless, unless sellers push silver below $19.80, buyers could remain hopeful of higher prices, though they would face a wall of resistance at around $21.48, the 20-week EMA. Once cleared, it would pave the way towards the 50-week EMA at $22.73, ahead of the 100-week at $24.11.

XAG/USD Weekly chart

The XAG/USD daily chart portrays silver as neutral-to-downwards biased. As previously mentioned, a bearish-engulfing candle pattern surfaced. Still, the 50-day EMA at $20.18 is a difficult support level to overcome for sellers, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aiming lower, towards the 50-midline, might open the door to further losses.

If XAG/USD sellers achieve a daily close below the above-mentioned, the XAG/USD next support would be the $20.00 figure, which, once cleared, could test the 20-day EMA at $19.73. On the flip side, if XAG/USD buyers hold the fort above the former, then the XAG/USD first resistance would be the $21.00 figure. A break below will expose crucial resistance levels, like the 50-day EMA at $21.68, followed by the 200-day EMA at $22.68.

XAG/USD Daily chart

Silver (XAG/USD) Key Technical Levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price20.23
Today Daily Change-0.61
Today Daily Change %-2.93
Today daily open20.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA2019.67
Daily SMA5020.24
Daily SMA10021.75
Daily SMA20022.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.84
Previous Daily Low20.24
Previous Weekly High20.84
Previous Weekly Low19.8
Previous Monthly High20.37
Previous Monthly Low18.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.47
Daily Pivot Point S120.44
Daily Pivot Point S220.04
Daily Pivot Point S319.84
Daily Pivot Point R121.04
Daily Pivot Point R221.24
Daily Pivot Point R321.64

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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