Silver Price Analysis: Further falls likely amid a potential bearish pennant

Silver saw good two-way action on Monday, bears dominate.
Risk-aversion amid oil shock and coronavirus spooks investors.
Downside looks more compelling amid a potential bearish pennant on hourly sticks.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Silver (XAG/USD) prices are seen rebounding from a fresh five-day low of $16.56 reached in early Europe. However, the bounce continues to face stiff resistance just above the $17 mark.

In the Asian opening trades, the precious metal hit the highest in six days at 17.60, tracking the rally in Gold prices. The yellow metal topped $1700 earlier today amid a massive flight to safety, fueled by the heightening fears over the coronavirus outbreak and oil-price plunge.

The XAG bears then took over control as the oil slump exacerbated the market chaos and intensified fears over the global economic growth, which eventually rendered negative for the industrial metal, silver.

Silver prices: Short-term technical outlook

Silver prices have charted a potential bearish pennant formation on the hourly chart, which is usually a bearish continuation pattern. Therefore, a test of the 16 level cannot be ruled if the pattern is validated on a break below the pennant support near 16.70. The hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades below the midline around 40 and has further room southwards, suggesting the path of least resistance appears to the downside. Adding to the bearish momentum, the price trades below all the major hourly Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).

On the flip side, only a sustained break above the pennant resistance of 17.06 will bump up the recovery momentum towards the bearish 21-hourly SMA at 17.15. The next resistances are aligned at the horizontal 100-hourly SMA of 17.22 and 17.30, the confluence of the 50 and 200-hourly SMAs.

Silver technical levels to consider

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price	16.82
Today Daily Change	-0.49
Today Daily Change %	-2.83
Today daily open	17.34

Trends
Daily SMA20	17.71
Daily SMA50	17.83
Daily SMA100	17.54
Daily SMA200	17.11

Levels
Previous Daily High	17.58
Previous Daily Low	17.05
Previous Weekly High	17.58
Previous Weekly Low	16.44
Previous Monthly High	18.95
Previous Monthly Low	16.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	17.25
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	17.38
Daily Pivot Point S1	17.06
Daily Pivot Point S2	16.79
Daily Pivot Point S3	16.53
Daily Pivot Point R1	17.6
Daily Pivot Point R2	17.86
Daily Pivot Point R3	18.13

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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