Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP/USD drops below 1.3100 as Fed large rate cut odds wane

Gold builds on its intraday recovery from the lowest level since November 2025, touched earlier this Tuesday, and climbs to the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. Any meaningful appreciation still seems elusive in the wake of a broadly firmer US Dollar. Against the backdrop of renewed Mideast tensions, mixed signals on US-Iran talks assist the USD to stall its recent pullback from the highest level since May 2025.

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.