Oil Price Analysis: The Trump inspired sell-off could continue into next week


  • WTI moves 4.19% lower on Friday and 7.89% lower this week.
  • Concerns over demand remain the key issue in the energy markets.

WTI 4-hour chart

Oil prices have broken down once again on Friday as concerns over demand loom. There was also some news overnight that US President Donald Trump has also tested positive for COVID-19. This also put pressure on the energy market as fears of another lockdown increase. 

Looking at the chart, the next wave low could be very important. If the price breaks USD 36.40 per barrel when it would create a new lower high lower low pattern and the next support is lower down at the purple line just below USD 35 per barrel. 

The indicators are still very bearish. The Relative Strength Index is hugging the oversold level and has been depressed for some time. The MACD is also very bearish as the signal lines are under zero and the histogram is also in the red. 

Overall this looks like a decent trend change. The next confirmation will come if the purple support level is broken to the downside. There is always the possibility that the OPEC+ group may act again but for now, it seems the demand side has been capped. 

WTI Analysis

Additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price 37.05
Today Daily Change -1.68
Today Daily Change % -4.34
Today daily open 38.73
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 39.32
Daily SMA50 41.05
Daily SMA100 39.53
Daily SMA200 40.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 40.58
Previous Daily Low 37.77
Previous Weekly High 41.51
Previous Weekly Low 38.92
Previous Monthly High 43.56
Previous Monthly Low 36.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 38.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 39.5
Daily Pivot Point S1 37.47
Daily Pivot Point S2 36.22
Daily Pivot Point S3 34.66
Daily Pivot Point R1 40.28
Daily Pivot Point R2 41.83
Daily Pivot Point R3 43.09

 

 

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