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NZD/USD Price Analysis: Upward momentum gathers pace after trendline breakout

  • Tuesday's trendline breakout is boding well for the NZD/USD pair. 
  • The Kiwi is solidly bid despite the talk of negative rates in New Zealand. 
  • The pair could challenge recent highs near 0.6130.

The New Zealand dollar continues to gain ground in Asia despite the talk of negative rates in New Zealand and pushing the NZD/USD pair higher. 

At press time, the currency pair is trading at session highs near 0.6092, representing a 0.59% gain on the day.

The Kiwi breached the trendline April 14 and April 20 lows on Tuesday, marking an end of the pullback from 0.6130 and a resumption of the upward move from lows under 0.55 printed in March. 

The breakout also validated the higher low at 0.5910 created on April 23 and shifted risk in favor of a re-test of 0.6130 (April 14 high). 

Westpac and Capital Economics said on Tuesday that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may cut interest rates to negative territory in November, strengthening the offered tone around the Kiwi. The NZD/USD pair fell to 0.60 during the Asian trading hours only to bounce back and end the day above the trendline hurdle. 

BNZ, however, thinks the central bank is unlikely to implement negative rates before the second quarter of 2021. 

The NZD/USD's short-term outlook would turn bearish under 0.5992, the low of the long-tailed candle created on Tuesday. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6092
Today Daily Change0.0036
Today Daily Change %0.59
Today daily open0.6055
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6
Daily SMA500.6073
Daily SMA1000.6323
Daily SMA2000.6363
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6074
Previous Daily Low0.5991
Previous Weekly High0.6092
Previous Weekly Low0.5911
Previous Monthly High0.645
Previous Monthly Low0.547
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6042
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6023
Daily Pivot Point S10.6006
Daily Pivot Point S20.5957
Daily Pivot Point S30.5923
Daily Pivot Point R10.6089
Daily Pivot Point R20.6123
Daily Pivot Point R30.6172

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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