|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Plummets to multi-day lows, risks breaking below 0.6600 mark

  • NZD/USD witnessed some aggressive selling during the early North American session on Friday.
  • The sharp slide took along some intraday trading stops near the 0.6650-45 confluence support.
  • Bears might now aim to test the 0.6575 region (weekly lows) amid mounting US-China tensions.

The NZD/USD pair tumbled to fresh session lows, around the 0.6600 mark on reports that the US administration is considering imposing personal sanctions on Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam.

This comes after the US President Donald Trump signed executive orders banning transactions with popular Chinese apps – Tencent's WeChat and ByteDance's Tiktok. This, in turn, fueled worries about a further escalation of tensions between the world's two largest economies and boosted the US dollar's status as the global reserve currency.

Meanwhile, the latest leg of a steep fall over the past hour or so could further be attributed to some technical selling below the 0.6645 confluence support. The mentioned region comprised of 200-hour SMA and the lower boundary of weekly ascending trend-channel. A convincing breakthrough was seen as a key trigger for bearish traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on the 4-hourly chart have just started drifting into the bearish territory and support prospects for further weakness. However, RSI (14) on the 1-hourly chart is already pointing to slightly oversold conditions. This coupled positive oscillators on the daily chart warrant some caution for bearish traders.

That said, the pair still seems vulnerable to slide back to test weekly lows support, around the 0.6575 region. Some follow-through selling now seems to accelerate the fall further towards the 0.6525 intermediate support en-route the key 0.6500 psychological mark.

On the flip side, any meaningful recovery attempt might still be seen as an opportunity to initiate some fresh bearish positions and seems more likely to remain capped near the 0.6650-45 confluence support breakpoint.

NZD/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.662
Today Daily Change-0.0067
Today Daily Change %-1.00
Today daily open0.6687
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6618
Daily SMA500.6524
Daily SMA1000.6272
Daily SMA2000.6363
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.669
Previous Daily Low0.6628
Previous Weekly High0.6716
Previous Weekly Low0.6619
Previous Monthly High0.6716
Previous Monthly Low0.644
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6666
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6652
Daily Pivot Point S10.6647
Daily Pivot Point S20.6606
Daily Pivot Point S30.6585
Daily Pivot Point R10.6709
Daily Pivot Point R20.673
Daily Pivot Point R30.6771

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot around 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold: Is the $5,000 level back in sight?

Gold snaps a two-day downtrend, as recovery gathers traction toward $5,000 on Wednesday. The US Dollar recovers from the overnight sell-off as rebalancing trades resume ahead of Fed Minutes. The 38.2% Fib support holds on the daily chart for now. What does that mean for Gold?

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.