|

NZD/USD bulls eye a significant correction

  • NZD/USD bears are lurking below the trendline resistance. 
  • Bulls eye a move into the Fibonacci scale. 

NZD/USD stayed within a tight range of between 0.6025 and 0.6066 and was marginally lower ahead of the Asian open and roll over. There was a pick-up in volatility and the US Dollar was under pressure for the most part of the day.

There were concerns as to whether Congress will pass the Biden/McCarthy US debt ceiling deal. The gatekeeper House of Representatives Rules Committee is due to consider the 99-page bill beginning at 3 p.m. EDT (1900 GMT) on Tuesday, ahead of votes in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives and the Democratic-controlled Senate.

´´Although it is logical that resolving the deal will clear the way for the Federal Reserve to hike (which we think is needed, given recent US data), the fact that we have seen US bond yields fall suggests that markets are less ebullient,´´ analñysts at ANZ Bank explained. 

´´Carry remains a focus for the Kiwi but carry “works” best when volatility is low and there isn’t much else going on, so it could be a patience game for carry traders. The NZ data is light until Gross Domestic Product in mid-June, and we may have to wait until then for NZ-specific factors to become drivers,´´ the analysts added. 

NZD/USD technical analysis

The bears are in the market and this leaves in-the-money shorts vulnerable to a pullback. A move to test resistances could open risk to the trendline resistance in a significant correction as measured by the Fibonacci scale. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.