|

Kremlin: Use of Western missiles by Ukraine against Russia could lead to nuclear response

Speaking at a news briefing on Tuesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov warned that the use of Western non-nuclear missiles by the Ukraine against the Russian Federation under the new doctrine could lead to a nuclear response.

His comment comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin approved changes to the country’s nuclear doctrine earlier on Tuesday, expanding conditions under which nuclear weapons could be used, including in cases of attacks by non-nuclear states supported by nuclear powers, per The Moscow Times.

Russia’s response follows US President Joe Biden’s authorization to Ukraine to use American Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) to strike inside Russia on Sunday, a move the Kremlin warned could lead to “a significant new round of escalation.”

Market reaction

Risk sentiment took a big hit on the above headlines, with the US S&P 500 futures, a risk barometer, down 0.50% on the day. The safe-haven US Dollar recaptured 106.50 against its major rivals while Gold price tested highs near the $2,635 level.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of “risk-on”, stock markets will rise, most commodities – except Gold – will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a “risk-off” market, Bonds go up – especially major government Bonds – Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are “risk-on”. This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of “risk-off” are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world’s reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them – even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY weakens below 157.50 after BoJ keeps rates unchanged

USD/JPY drifts lower for the third straight day, sliding below mid-157.00s during Friday’s Asian session after the widely expected BoJ on-hold rate decision. Meanwhile, the US Dollar selling remains unabated amid hopes for Middle East diplomacy. Moreover, declining US bond yields narrow the US-Japan yield differential, benefiting the Japanese Yen and weighing on the currency pair.

Gold slides below $4,000 as Fed rate hike bets offset falling bond yields and weak USD

Gold attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and slides below the $4,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Friday amid hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations. In fact, US macro data released on Thursday pointed to resilient economic growth and persistent price pressures, solidifying bets for an imminent rate hike in December. This is seen as undermining the non-yielding bullion.

The hawkish Fed can't lift the US Dollar anymore
About three more Federal Reserve hikes are already priced in, and the central banks behind the Euro, Pound, Yen and Loonie are raising rates or about to. That leaves the US Dollar Index with little to gain if the Fed keeps leaning toward higher rates.
Binance hack puts crypto exchange custody risk back in focus
Binance is investigating a major security incident after billions of dollars in crypto assets moved from wallets associated with the exchange. The final scale of the incident remains unclear.
A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.