|

Kremlin: Use of Western missiles by Ukraine against Russia could lead to nuclear response

Speaking at a news briefing on Tuesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov warned that the use of Western non-nuclear missiles by the Ukraine against the Russian Federation under the new doctrine could lead to a nuclear response.

His comment comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin approved changes to the country’s nuclear doctrine earlier on Tuesday, expanding conditions under which nuclear weapons could be used, including in cases of attacks by non-nuclear states supported by nuclear powers, per The Moscow Times.

Russia’s response follows US President Joe Biden’s authorization to Ukraine to use American Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) to strike inside Russia on Sunday, a move the Kremlin warned could lead to “a significant new round of escalation.”

Market reaction

Risk sentiment took a big hit on the above headlines, with the US S&P 500 futures, a risk barometer, down 0.50% on the day. The safe-haven US Dollar recaptured 106.50 against its major rivals while Gold price tested highs near the $2,635 level.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of “risk-on”, stock markets will rise, most commodities – except Gold – will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a “risk-off” market, Bonds go up – especially major government Bonds – Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are “risk-on”. This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of “risk-off” are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world’s reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them – even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to build on recent rebound, holds above 1.1550

EUR/USD  trades marginally lower on the day but manages to hold above 1.1550 in the American session, following Thursday's rebound. The pair edges down as the US Dollar rebounds slightly as investors cling to a cautious stance amid mixed headlines surrounding the conflict in the Middle East.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3400 as USD recovers

GBP/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades slightly below 1.3400 in the second half of the day on Friday. The renewed USD strength doesn't allow the pair to gain traction as investors adopt a cautious stance while awaiting headlines surrounding the US-Iran war.

Gold retreats from session-high, tests $4,200

After rising more than 3% on Thursday, Gold (XAU/USD) continued to edge higher but failed to gather momentum on Friday, returning to $4,200 region in the American session. The US Dollar rebounds following the recent selloff as investors remain sceptical about a resolution in the Middle East conflict, capping XAU/USD's upside.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

The US economy has defied the Iran war so far: Can it last?

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.