|

Kiwi is vulnerable to a stronger Greenback on US data surprises – DBS Bank

NZD/USD plunged by after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) reverted to a dovish hold. Economists at DBS Bank analyze Kiwi’s outlook.

Fed Chair Powell will seek to discourage markets from repricing excessive rate cuts

With the RBNZ’s rate hike bias diminished, NZD/USD is vulnerable to a stronger Greenback on US data surprises today. 

Although consensus expects the US PCE core deflator to fall to 2.8% YoY in January from 2.9% in December, the Fed will be more concerned about the expected rise to 0.4% MoM from 0.2% for the comparable periods. 

If US initial jobless claims deliver another surprise fall, next week’s nonfarm payrolls could defy the consensus to fall below the 200K mark. 

During his semi-annual congressional testimonies on March 6-7, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will seek to discourage markets from repricing excessive rate cuts amid a resilient US economy, which the Fed worries could stall or reverse the progress achieved so far to restore price stability.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.