|

Israeli military intercepts missile launched from Yemen

During the Asian trade on Monday, the Israeli military stated a missile had been launched from Yemen towards Israeli territory, which has been intercepted by its aerial defense systems, The Guardian reported. Air raid sirens sound in Tel Aviv, following the attack from Yemen. The retaliatory attacks from Yemen, whose military force, the Houthis, are backed by Iran, reflect that conflicts in the Middle East have started again.

Earlier in the day, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said that it struck military targets in western and central Iran, hours after Iran fired a salvo of missiles at northern Israel.

Later, the Israeli military also identifies a misslile attack from Iran, which has also been intercepted by its aerial defense systems.

Market reaction

No major action seen in the US Dollar (USD) following headlines from Israel; however, the US Dollar Index (DXY) trades firmly near 100.00 as of writing, the highest level seen in two months.

Risk sentiment FAQs

In the world of financial jargon the two widely used terms “risk-on” and “risk off'' refer to the level of risk that investors are willing to stomach during the period referenced. In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic about the future and more willing to buy risky assets. In a “risk-off” market investors start to ‘play it safe’ because they are worried about the future, and therefore buy less risky assets that are more certain of bringing a return, even if it is relatively modest.

Typically, during periods of “risk-on”, stock markets will rise, most commodities – except Gold – will also gain in value, since they benefit from a positive growth outlook. The currencies of nations that are heavy commodity exporters strengthen because of increased demand, and Cryptocurrencies rise. In a “risk-off” market, Bonds go up – especially major government Bonds – Gold shines, and safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc and US Dollar all benefit.

The Australian Dollar (AUD), the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and minor FX like the Ruble (RUB) and the South African Rand (ZAR), all tend to rise in markets that are “risk-on”. This is because the economies of these currencies are heavily reliant on commodity exports for growth, and commodities tend to rise in price during risk-on periods. This is because investors foresee greater demand for raw materials in the future due to heightened economic activity.

The major currencies that tend to rise during periods of “risk-off” are the US Dollar (USD), the Japanese Yen (JPY) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). The US Dollar, because it is the world’s reserve currency, and because in times of crisis investors buy US government debt, which is seen as safe because the largest economy in the world is unlikely to default. The Yen, from increased demand for Japanese government bonds, because a high proportion are held by domestic investors who are unlikely to dump them – even in a crisis. The Swiss Franc, because strict Swiss banking laws offer investors enhanced capital protection.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stalls rebound above 0.7050 amid fresh Mideast tensions

AUD/USD stalls its rebound from almost two-month lows and treads water near 0.7050 in Asia on Monday, as the US Dollar pauses following Friday's upbeat US NFP-led blowout rally to a two-month high. However, renewed geopolitical tensions, along with surging bets on Fed rate hikes, continue to act as a tailwind for the USD, capping the higher-yielding Aussie.

USD/JPY holds higher ground toward 160.50 despite 'Yentervention' fears

USD/JPY holds higher ground toward 160.50 in Monday's Asian trading, despite intervention fears. Japan’s revised GDP print, which confirmed that the economy lost momentum in the first quarter, weighs on the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, Friday's upbeat US NFP report and fresh Israel-Iran attacks favor the US Dollar bulls, underpinning the currency pair.

Gold set for more pain amid renewed Mideast hostilities

Gold is licking its wounds, hanging close to three-month lows of $4,300 in Asia on Monday. The bright metal is consolidating before resuming Friday’s sell-off amid re-escalation in the Middle East and hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations.

Bitcoin under pressure, Ethereum breaks support and XRP weakens targets $1

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure at the start of this week after losing more than 14%, 15%, and 13%, respectively, in the previous week. BTC struggles below $63,000, ETH loses key support zones, while XRP’s momentum indicators continue to favor further downside.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.