|

Gold technical analysis: Consolidates near weekly tops, NFP eyed for a fresh impetus

  • The positive momentum stalls ahead of a one-month-old trading range resistance.
  • Technical set-up support prospects for additional gains, albeit needs confirmation.

Gold failed to capitalize on the positive move witnessed over the past two trading sessions and was seen consolidating in a range just below weekly tops set earlier this Friday.
 
The momentum stalled ahead of the $1516-18 supply zone, marking the top end of a one-month-old trading range, which should act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.
 
Slightly overbought conditions on hourly charts seemed to be the only factor holding investors from placing fresh bullish bets ahead of the closely watched US monthly jobs report.
 
Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining positive traction and support prospects for additional gains amid the prevalent USD selling bias.
 
However, traders are likely to wait for a sustained break through the mentioned trading range barrier before positioning for a move towards $1533-35 resistance area.
 
The momentum could further get extended towards $1540-42 intermediate resistance en-route the $1555-57 region – multi-year tops set in September.
 
Conversely, rejection from the current resistance zone and a subsequent weakness back below the key $1500 psychological mark might negate the near-term constructive outlook.
 
The commodity then could slide back towards the $1485 horizontal support ahead of the $1480 level and the lower end of the trading range, around the $1474-73 region.

Gold daily chart

fxsoriginal

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1511.8
Today Daily Change-1.16
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1512.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA201494.99
Daily SMA501504.7
Daily SMA1001469.36
Daily SMA2001385.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1514.22
Previous Daily Low1493.8
Previous Weekly High1517.92
Previous Weekly Low1481.05
Previous Monthly High1519.04
Previous Monthly Low1455.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1506.42
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1501.6
Daily Pivot Point S11499.77
Daily Pivot Point S21486.57
Daily Pivot Point S31479.35
Daily Pivot Point R11520.19
Daily Pivot Point R21527.42
Daily Pivot Point R31540.61

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD extends the range play above 0.7200 as traders await US inflation data

AUD/USD is seen extending its consolidative price move above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Thursday amid mixed cues. Rising RBA rate-hike bets keep the Aussie close to its highest level since May 14. However, hawkish Fed expectations and escalating US-Iran tensions offer some support to the US Dollar, capping the currency pair as traders await US inflation figures.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold remains stuck between two key averages ahead of the US inflation test
Gold is building on the previous recovery from one-week lows near $4,350 early Thursday, stretching beyond $4,400. Gold buyers now look forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due Thursday and Friday, respectively, for a sustained turnaround. Gold is finding continued support from the United States (US) Treasury Department’s measure to rescue the bond market.
Oil surge drives Equity rout
The traditional September selling in equities really seems to be taking hold thanks to higher oil prices, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading and investing platform IG. The second oil surge in a year has really begun to drag stock markets lower, as it combines with pre-CPI anxiety among investors who already regard next week’s Fed meeting with plenty of trepidation.
Jobs opened the door for the Fed — inflation decides whether it walks through

The latest US jobs report did not end the debate over the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next move. It may have done something more subtle: it gave policymakers permission to keep their options open. After months of softer labour market signals, August delivered a stronger-than-expected rebound.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.