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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades volatile around $1920-$1930 post Fed 25 bps hike

  • Gold price seesaws in a $10 range after the Federal Reserve hiked rates by 25 bps.
  • Federal Reserve officials stated that more increases would be appropriate.
  • US central bank policymakers decided that future rate hikes would be in 25 bps increments.

Gold price rises following the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to slow the pace of interest rate increases and lifted the Federal Funds rate (FFR) by 25 bps to the 4.50% – 4.75% area. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading volatile but above its opening price, at around the $1920-$1930 range.

Summary of the monetary policy statement

In its monetary policy statement,  Fed officials voted unanimously to raise rates by 25 bps, emphasizing that additional rate hikes would be appropriate, pushing against the financial market’s expectations for a Fed pivot.

Policymakers acknowledged that inflation has “eased somewhat but remains elevated.” The Fed added that indicators point to modest growth in spending and production and commented that the labor market remains robust. Officials added, “in determining the extent of future rate hikes, it will take into account cumulative tightening, policy lags and economic and financial developments.”

Fed officials commented that future rate hikes would be in 25 bps increments, dropping the reference to the “pace” of additional rate hikes.

Now that the Fed’s decision is in the rearview mirror, traders prepare for the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference at around 19:30 GMT.

Gold’s reaction to the headline

As shown in Gold’s 15-minute chart, In its initial reaction, the XAU/USD edged towards the daily pivot, though slightly above it, around $1920, and pushed upwards, clearing the 200, 100, 50, and 20-Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). It should be said that XAU/USD’s is seesawing around $1920-$1930, and it would remain volatile during the press conference of Jerome Powell.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1927.53
Today Daily Change-0.94
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1928.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA201905.58
Daily SMA501836.67
Daily SMA1001759.53
Daily SMA2001775.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1931.15
Previous Daily Low1900.86
Previous Weekly High1949.27
Previous Weekly Low1911.45
Previous Monthly High1949.27
Previous Monthly Low1823.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1919.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1912.43
Daily Pivot Point S11909.17
Daily Pivot Point S21889.87
Daily Pivot Point S31878.88
Daily Pivot Point R11939.46
Daily Pivot Point R21950.45
Daily Pivot Point R31969.75

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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