|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to reach $1834 July high on a break above $1794 – Commerzbank

Gold continues to see signs of recovery. In the view of Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank, XAU/USD will need to regain the 200-day moving average at $1794 to confirm upside scope to the July highs.

XAU/USD looking for a deeper rally

“The bounce has yet to clear moving average resistance at $1794 and only above here will allow for a rally towards $1834.16/21, which are the highs since July and we look for rallies to struggle on moves to here. The 55-week ma also is found at $1815. 

“We are relatively neutral but only a close above the $1845 2020-2021 resistance line would regenerate upside interest for a recovery to $1856/57 4th June low. Above here lies the $1917 May 2021 peak.”

“Below $1721, support is found at $1679.80/$1677.83 and is reinforced by the $1670 June 2020 low. Below $1670 would target the 2018-2021 uptrend at $1608.”

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to suffer further weakness on a dip below $1691/77 – Credit Suisse

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains confined in a range; 158.00 holds the key

USD/JPY extends its consolidative move during the Asian session on Tuesday, trading below 158.00 amid diverging forces. Hawkish BoJ expectations support the Japanese Yen amid looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, holds back traders from placing aggressive directional bets.

$4,100: For how long can Gold defend that level?

Gold resumes the recent downtrend, approaching $4,100 early Tuesday. The US Dollar consolidates near 17-month highs amid high Treasury yields and a rebound in oil prices. From a short-term technical view, Gold’s path of least resistance appears to be down.


Ethereum: BitMine scoops extra ETH tokens following Q3 outperformance
Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its buying streak of the top altcoin last week. The firm acquired 15,112 ETH, lifting its holdings to 6.016 million ETH, representing 4.9% of ETH's circulating supply and worth $16.16 billion at the time of writing. That brings the company roughly 98.5% closer to acquiring 5% of ETH's supply, a goal it tags "Alchemy of 5%."
The scarcity trade is gaining momentum – The biggest commodity moves may still be ahead
Something extraordinary is happening across global Commodity markets. Oil is above $100. Diesel has reached record prices. Copper has broken records. Global food prices are rising again. China is restricting fuel exports. Governments are releasing emergency reserves.
Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.