|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers its losses above $1,910, eyes on US PMI data

  • Gold price recovers some lost ground around $1,920 amid the USD demand.
  • Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell drags gold price lower.
  • Investors will closely watch the preliminary US S&P Global/CIPS PMI data.

Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers its recent losses after retreating to a weekly low of $1,913 during the early Asian session on Friday. As of writing, XAU/USD was up 0.08% on the day at $1,921.62.

In a press conference on Wednesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to achieving 2% inflation. Powel added that the Fed is prepared to raise interest rates if necessary.

According to the Fed's most recent quarterly predictions, the benchmark overnight interest rate may be raised one more time this year to a peak range of 5.50% to 5.75%, and rates may be substantially tighter through 2024 than previously anticipated.

In addition, the Fed revised its Summary of Projections (SEP), indicating that Fed officials anticipate that interest rates will reach 5.1% by the end of 2024 (up from 4.6% previously). It’s worth noting that rising interest rates raise the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets, implying a negative outlook for precious metals.

About the data, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropping to 201K, the lowest level since January. Additionally, the Philly Fed dropped to -13.5 in September from 12.0 in the previous reading, worse-than-expected of -0.7.  Existing Home Sales fell to 4.04M MoM in August from the previous reading of 4.07M. 

Looking ahead, gold traders will keep an eye on the preliminary US S&P Global/CIPS PMI data for September due later on Friday. These figures could provide a clear direction for gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1921.45
Today Daily Change1.37
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1920.08
 
Trends
Daily SMA201925.47
Daily SMA501930.63
Daily SMA1001943.18
Daily SMA2001924.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1932.04
Previous Daily Low1913.95
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1920.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1925.13
Daily Pivot Point S11912.01
Daily Pivot Point S21903.93
Daily Pivot Point S31893.92
Daily Pivot Point R11930.1
Daily Pivot Point R21940.11
Daily Pivot Point R31948.19

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.