|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers its losses above $1,910, eyes on US PMI data

  • Gold price recovers some lost ground around $1,920 amid the USD demand.
  • Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell drags gold price lower.
  • Investors will closely watch the preliminary US S&P Global/CIPS PMI data.

Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers its recent losses after retreating to a weekly low of $1,913 during the early Asian session on Friday. As of writing, XAU/USD was up 0.08% on the day at $1,921.62.

In a press conference on Wednesday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to achieving 2% inflation. Powel added that the Fed is prepared to raise interest rates if necessary.

According to the Fed's most recent quarterly predictions, the benchmark overnight interest rate may be raised one more time this year to a peak range of 5.50% to 5.75%, and rates may be substantially tighter through 2024 than previously anticipated.

In addition, the Fed revised its Summary of Projections (SEP), indicating that Fed officials anticipate that interest rates will reach 5.1% by the end of 2024 (up from 4.6% previously). It’s worth noting that rising interest rates raise the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets, implying a negative outlook for precious metals.

About the data, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropping to 201K, the lowest level since January. Additionally, the Philly Fed dropped to -13.5 in September from 12.0 in the previous reading, worse-than-expected of -0.7.  Existing Home Sales fell to 4.04M MoM in August from the previous reading of 4.07M. 

Looking ahead, gold traders will keep an eye on the preliminary US S&P Global/CIPS PMI data for September due later on Friday. These figures could provide a clear direction for gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1921.45
Today Daily Change1.37
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1920.08
 
Trends
Daily SMA201925.47
Daily SMA501930.63
Daily SMA1001943.18
Daily SMA2001924.83
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1932.04
Previous Daily Low1913.95
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1920.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1925.13
Daily Pivot Point S11912.01
Daily Pivot Point S21903.93
Daily Pivot Point S31893.92
Daily Pivot Point R11930.1
Daily Pivot Point R21940.11
Daily Pivot Point R31948.19

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold buyers retain control as the US CPI week begins

Gold is extending its recovery from a two-month low of $4,067 into a new week on Monday, trying to remain above the $4,200 level amid a pause in the US Dollar retreat from an 18-month peak.

Bitcoin reclaims $83,500, Ethereum takes back 50-day EMA, XRP holds support
Bitcoin (BTC) takes back $83,500 on Monday after a sharp correction, with the Crypto King slipping below $81,000 the previous week. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) followed BTC’s footsteps, recovering and reclaiming the $2,500 and $1.400 marks after a pullback last week.
USD/INR drops 1% at open as RBI steps up measures to support Indian Rupee

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens significantly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday. The USD/INR pair falls 1% to near 95.80 as Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) fresh measures to curb US Dollar demand has brought relief for the Indian currency.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?