|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits fresh daily lows under $1,860 on a volatile session

  • After a spike higher, gold reverses to the downside and then rebounds to $1,865.
  • Volatile session for metals as the US dollar strengthens.
  • US economic data surpass expectations, stocks and yields rise.

Gold prices dropped almost $20 from their peak during the last sixty minutes as volatility has soared. XAU/USD hit a fresh five month high at $1,877 and then turned to the downside following US economic data. Recently it bottomed at $1,858, before rising to $1,865. Silver is also affected by volatility. XAG/USD reversed sharply after reaching $25.41 and fell under $25.00.

USD gains on data, metals sideways

US data for both retail sales and industrial production surpassed expectations. The numbers boosted the greenback and also US yields. The 10-year yield climbed to 1.63% a fresh high, and then pulled back. The DXY printed fresh monthly highs above 95.70 and is gaining 0.20%.

Gold was trading higher on the day, at five-month highs before dropping sharply. The upside bias weakened during the last hour and price is testing levels below a key short-term uptrend line. A consolidation below $1,855 should point to a correction. The next relevant support stands at $1,840.

On the upside, if XAU/USD manages to rise again and hold above $1,870, it would keep the doors open to more gains, targeting the next resistance zone around $1,890.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1861.57
Today Daily Change-1.65
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open1863.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA201808.4
Daily SMA501784.08
Daily SMA1001790.43
Daily SMA2001791.57
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1870.55
Previous Daily Low1856.35
Previous Weekly High1868.71
Previous Weekly Low1812.47
Previous Monthly High1813.82
Previous Monthly Low1746.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1861.77
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1865.13
Daily Pivot Point S11856.2
Daily Pivot Point S21849.17
Daily Pivot Point S31842
Daily Pivot Point R11870.4
Daily Pivot Point R21877.57
Daily Pivot Point R31884.6

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.