Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD in tug-of-war between clashing investment properties


  • Gold is being pulled in two directions, but bid on the day through key resistance.
  • Fed's change in tone has catalyzed a steepening in the yield curve.

The price of gold is trading at $1,869.13 at the time of writing, travelling between a low of $1,832.57 and $1,870.48 on the day so far.

Markets flipped risk on this Wednesday in anticipation of Joe Biden's swearing-in as the 46th president of the US.

The S&P 500 popped in the open and continued to edge higher around the event as Wall Street hit new record highs.  

Wall Street is liking Biden's laid out $1.9trillion stimulus package proposal which is expected to boost the economy and speed up the distribution of vaccines. 

Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen yesterday urged lawmakers to "act big" to save the economy and worry about the debt later.

However, ''gold is being pulled in two directions as its safe-haven features clash with its inflation-hedging properties,'' analysts at TD Securities noted.

''Over the past months, gold's trading regime featured rising inflation expectations, rather than nominal rates, as the primary driver of real rates.''

''Yet, over the past weeks, Treasury supply angst and the Fed's change in tone have catalyzed a steepening in the yield curve, fueling rates vol which in turn has transformed gold back into a safe-haven product as real rates are increasingly driven by nominals, rather than by inflation expectations.''

''For the time being, the rise in rates has remained contained, allowing real rates to tumble once again and resulting in a tug-of-war between gold's clashing investment properties,'' the analysts added.

''In this context, gold would need rates vol to remain contained in order for its inflation-combating features to shine once again.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1868.42
Today Daily Change 28.08
Today Daily Change % 1.53
Today daily open 1840.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1877.51
Daily SMA50 1860.01
Daily SMA100 1884.88
Daily SMA200 1845.33
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1845.58
Previous Daily Low 1833.15
Previous Weekly High 1863.83
Previous Weekly Low 1816.96
Previous Monthly High 1906.87
Previous Monthly Low 1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1840.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1837.9
Daily Pivot Point S1 1833.8
Daily Pivot Point S2 1827.26
Daily Pivot Point S3 1821.37
Daily Pivot Point R1 1846.23
Daily Pivot Point R2 1852.12
Daily Pivot Point R3 1858.66

 

 

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