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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD defends 21-DMA support amid USD rebound, US CPI eyed

  • Gold sees some signs of life amid weaker Treasury yields.
  • The DXY rebound could cap the gains in XAU/USD.
  • Gold clings onto the 21-DMA support ahead of the critical US CPI.

Gold (XAU/USD) is challenging the bearish commitments near the critical support at $1731, with all eyes on the US CPI for a fresh direction.

That level is the 21-daily moving average (DMA), which has been holding the fort for the past week.

The yellow metal fell nearly $11 on Monday, extending its two days of declines, as the Treasury yields reversed course and edged slightly higher following a good three-year note auction.

Meanwhile, a mixed closed on Wall Street, a positive tone in the Asian markets and a broad comeback in the US dollar keep the gold buyers on the edge.

The recent strong US PPI data has lifted inflation expectations, which seem to be offering support to the traditional hedge against inflation, gold. Markets await the US CPI release for fresh insights on the strength of the economy and the Fed rate hike outlook.

Gold: Technical outlook

With the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) inching higher to probe the midline, the price of gold is looking to extend its bounce from the abovementioned 21-DMA support.

Gold Price Chart: One-day

Monday’s high at $1745 would offer initial resistance, as the bulls eye a sustained move above the bearish 50-DMA at $1756.

If the 21-DMA support is breached, a sell-off towards the April 1 low of $1706 cannot be ruled out.

The next relevant support awaits at the $1700 round figure.

Gold: Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1735.11
Today Daily Change2.49
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open1732.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201731.34
Daily SMA501758.19
Daily SMA1001807.29
Daily SMA2001858.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1745.1
Previous Daily Low1727.42
Previous Weekly High1758.74
Previous Weekly Low1721.34
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1734.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1738.35
Daily Pivot Point S11724.99
Daily Pivot Point S21717.37
Daily Pivot Point S31707.31
Daily Pivot Point R11742.67
Daily Pivot Point R21752.73
Daily Pivot Point R31760.35

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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