|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls face an uphill battle despite dovish Powell – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates its overnight recovery above $1800, having capitalized on  Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish comments. Powell signaled Tuesday the Fed was nowhere close to unwinding its easy policy amid uneven economic recovery.

Gold bulls also weigh in the reports that the House will vote on the US stimulus bill this Friday, as the US Treasury yields correct further from yearly highs. Markets await the Day 2 of Powell’s testimony and a slew of Fedspeak for fresh directives.

How is positioned on the technical charts?

Gold Price Chart: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that gold is likely to have a tough time taking on the upside, as a bunch of healthy resistance levels is stacked up.

An immediate hurdle is seen at $1816, the previous day, above which the pivot point one-week R1 at $1818 could be tested.

Further up, the confluence of the previous week high and pivot point one-day R2 at $1827 could be challenged.

The next relevant barrier stands at $1840, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month.

On the flip side, the XAU bulls are battling a critical $1808 cushion, where the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, SMA10 four-hour and previous low one-hour.

Sellers would then target powerful support at $1803, the intersection of the previous month low and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

The previous day low at $1796 could test the bears’ commitments, below which a dense cluster of support levels around $1790/88 could be challenged.

The last line of defense for the XAU bulls awaits at $1878, the pivot point one-month R1.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.