|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bulls and bears jostle around $1,930

  • Gold prices await a clear direction after Thursday’s volatile trading that crossed $1,975 before declining to $1,910.
  • The US dollar’s strength, backed by Fed Chair Powell’s speech, plays a big role.
  • Hopes of witnessing the break to the American stimulus deadlock, receding virus numbers add to the market optimism.
  • Day 2 of Jackson Hole Symposium and the usual risk catalysts will be in focus.

Gold traders catch a breath near $1,930, currently at $1,927.45, during the pre-Tokyo Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal had action-packed day, $65 move in almost 60 minutes, before a few hours when Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell propelled market moves. Following that chatters concerning the US coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus entertained the bullion traders amid a light calendar.

Slow but not-out…

US Fed Chair Powell announced the central bank’s bearish bias backed by the readiness to easy for longer-term amid the new Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) method. The Fed leader’s move was already in talks but hints for the longer-run employment and inflation numbers, mostly downbeat, suggested that the easy money will be here.

The US dollar cheered the Fed’s decision while snapping a two-day winning streak. The moves also exerted downside pressure on gold that marked the heaviest losses in the last seven days. The reason for the bullion’s weakness could also be traced from the surge in the US treasury yields and upbeat performance of Wall Street benchmarks.

Furthermore, global leaders are preparing to have the COVID-19 vaccine first and the virus numbers are also receding off-late, which in turn keeps the risk-on mood on the table. Additionally, the US policymakers are inching closer to discuss the stimulus as the latest comments from US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi suggest further easing of the Democratic demand on the virus package total.

While the aforementioned catalysts question the market’s rush for risk-safety, the continuous drama surrounding the US-China relations and the global economic hit due to the deadly virus can keep the metal strong enough. It should, however, be noted that the commodity’s immediate moves may be challenged by the speeches from the Jackson Hole and second-tier data from the US.

Technical analysis

A short-term triangle between $1,950 and $1,910 seems to restrict the metal’s short-term moves.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1930.24
Today Daily Change-23.94
Today Daily Change %-1.23%
Today daily open1954.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA201971.76
Daily SMA501876.23
Daily SMA1001795.17
Daily SMA2001673.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1954.88
Previous Daily Low1902.76
Previous Weekly High2015.65
Previous Weekly Low1911.64
Previous Monthly High1984.8
Previous Monthly Low1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1934.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1922.67
Daily Pivot Point S11919.67
Daily Pivot Point S21885.15
Daily Pivot Point S31867.55
Daily Pivot Point R11971.79
Daily Pivot Point R21989.39
Daily Pivot Point R32023.91

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends weekly uptrend, trades above 1.3400

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains and holds above 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. The British Pound gains amid optimism on the UK government leadership transition and Bank of England rate hike bets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar loses ground on Middle East de-escalation and receding Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1400

EUR/USD struggles to gather bullish momentum on Friday and trades in a relatively tight range above 1.1400. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict causes investors to cling to a cautious stance and limits the pair's upside. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold fails to build on recovery gains, seems vulnerable near $4,100

Gold struggles to build on Thursday's gains and fluctuates in a narrow channel, slightly above $4,100 on Friday. The uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal's upside as investors wait for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.