|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls remain in control with RSI and MACD in positive territory

  • GBP/JPY heads for a third weekly gain amid broad-based Yen weakness and Pound strength.
  • Japan's Finance Minister calls for greater domestic pension fund investment in Japanese financial assets.
  • GBP/JPY maintains a bullish technical outlook while holding above key moving averages.

GBP/JPY trades under pressure on Friday after comments from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama boosted the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 217.10, down 0.30% on the day.

Katayama said the government would encourage domestic pension funds, including the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), to increase their holdings of Japanese financial assets.

However, the remarks did little to reverse the Yen's broad-based weakness, leaving GBP/JPY pinned near levels last seen in 2008 and on track for a third consecutive weekly gain.

Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) remains the strongest-performing G10 currency in recent weeks, supported by Bank of England (BoE) interest rate hike bets and easing political uncertainty in the United Kingdom.

From a technical perspective, GBP/JPY maintains a bullish bias on the daily chart, holding above the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), reinforcing the broader uptrend.

The cross also remains above the horizontal support at 216.50, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 62.54, remaining in bullish territory. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator stays in positive territory at 0.33, suggesting upside momentum remains constructive.

On the upside, immediate resistance is located at the 218.00 horizontal barrier. A sustained break above this level could pave the way for an extension of the broader uptrend.

Initial support is seen at 216.50, followed by the 50-day SMA at 214.31 and the 100-day SMA at 213.51. The 200-day SMA at 210.57 provides the next major support if a deeper corrective pullback unfolds.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.03%-0.07%-0.36%-0.15%-0.09%-0.20%0.05%
EUR-0.03%-0.11%-0.39%-0.18%-0.13%-0.26%0.02%
GBP0.07%0.11%-0.28%-0.07%-0.03%-0.15%0.11%
JPY0.36%0.39%0.28%0.21%0.27%0.11%0.39%
CAD0.15%0.18%0.07%-0.21%0.05%-0.09%0.18%
AUD0.09%0.13%0.03%-0.27%-0.05%-0.13%0.11%
NZD0.20%0.26%0.15%-0.11%0.09%0.13%0.26%
CHF-0.05%-0.02%-0.11%-0.39%-0.18%-0.11%-0.26%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends weekly uptrend, trades above 1.3400

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains and holds above 1.3400 in the European session on Friday. The British Pound gains amid optimism on the UK government leadership transition and Bank of England rate hike bets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar loses ground on Middle East de-escalation and receding Fed rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1400

EUR/USD struggles to gather bullish momentum on Friday and trades in a relatively tight range above 1.1400. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict causes investors to cling to a cautious stance and limits the pair's upside. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve will publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Gold fails to build on recovery gains, seems vulnerable near $4,100

Gold struggles to build on Thursday's gains and fluctuates in a narrow channel, slightly above $4,100 on Friday. The uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal's upside as investors wait for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to publish its Semiannual Monetary Policy Report.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.