|

Gold jumps back above $1500 mark, lacks follow-through

  • Thursday’s post-ECB strong intraday upsurge fizzles out rather quickly.
  • US-China trade optimism continues to dent the metal’s safe-haven status.
  • Weaker USD helped regain some traction ahead of US retail sales data.

Gold reversed an early dip and jumped back above the key $1500 psychological mark in the last hour, albeit remained well below the previous session's volatility swing high to weekly tops.
 
The precious metal on Thursday rallied hard to an intraday high level of $1524 in reaction to the European Central Bank’s (ECB) decisions to lower interest rates further into negative territory and reintroduce QE program, putting further pressure on the Fed to take similar dovish action at its next policy meeting on September 17-18.
 
This was followed by the US President Donald Trump's latest criticism, accusing the Fed for not doing enough to support the US economy and asking the central bank to cut rates to zero or below, which eventually turned out to be one of the key factors that provided a strong boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Weighed down by positive trade headlines

However, the strong intraday upsurge quickly ran out of the steam amid encouraging signs that the US and China were narrowing their differences over trade, which continued dampening demand for traditional safe-haven assets - like Gold - and prompted some aggressive intraday selling at higher levels.
 
In the latest trade-related developments, China was said to narrow the scope for upcoming trade negotiations in early October in hopes to resolve some key issues and break the deadlock. Additional reports suggest that the Trump administration might offer a limited trade agreement to China that would delay and even roll back some US tariffs.
 
The positive news flow continued pushing the US Treasury bond yields higher across the board and exerted some additional downward pressure during the Asian session on Friday, though a follow-through US Dollar pullback underpinned demand for the dollar-denominated commodity and helped regain some positive traction.
 
Market participants now look forward to Friday's US economic docket - highlighting the release of monthly retail sales data - to grab some short-term trading opportunities on Friday. The key focus, however, will remain on the upcoming FOMC meeting, which should help determine Gold's near-term trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1502.32
Today Daily Change3.32
Today Daily Change %0.22
Today daily open1499
 
Trends
Daily SMA201516.89
Daily SMA501472.68
Daily SMA1001398.93
Daily SMA2001345.32
Levels
Previous Daily High1523.3
Previous Daily Low1489.25
Previous Weekly High1557.03
Previous Weekly Low1502.95
Previous Monthly High1554.63
Previous Monthly Low1400.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1510.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1502.26
Daily Pivot Point S11484.4
Daily Pivot Point S21469.8
Daily Pivot Point S31450.35
Daily Pivot Point R11518.45
Daily Pivot Point R21537.9
Daily Pivot Point R31552.5

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold holds above $5,000 as bears seem hesitant amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold edges lower at the start of a new week, though it defends the $5,000 psychological mark through the Asian session. The underlying bullish sentiment is seen acting as a headwind for the bullion. However, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed, bolstered by Friday's softer US CPI, keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and continue to support the non-yielding yellow metal as the focus now shifts to FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.

Week ahead: Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

The US jobs report for January, which was delayed slightly, didn’t do the dovish Fed bets any favours, as expectations of a soft print did not materialize, confounding the raft of weak job indicators seen in the prior week.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.