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Gold hammered down to fresh YTD lows, below $1275 level

   •  Risk-on mood/US-China trade optimism continues to dampen safe-haven demand.
   •  Surging US bond yields/a modest USD bounce further add to the bearish pressure.
   •  Technical selling below March/April lows intensifies the downward momentum.

Gold remained heavily offered through the early North-American session on Tuesday and tumbled to 3-1/2 month lows, or fresh YTD lows around the $1274 region in the last hour.

A fresh wave of global risk-on trade, fueled by easing concerns over a global slowdown and optimism over a possible US-China trade deal, continued dampening the precious metal's perceived safe-haven demand and kept exerting downward pressure for the fourth consecutive session.

This coupled with a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields further collaborated towards driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal, taking along short-term trading stops being placed near March/April swing lows support near the $1281 horizontal zone. 

Hence, the latest leg of a sudden fall over the past couple of hours could further be attributed to a follow-through technical selling, with a modest US Dollar uptick, despite disappointing US data, further aggravating the selling pressure surrounding the dollar-denominated commodity.

Looking at the technical picture, acceptance below 100-day SMA for the first time since mid-Nov. 2018, and a subsequent break below a key support now opens the room for further depreciating move, albeit oversold conditions on hourly charts might help limit deeper losses, at least for the time being.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1276.3
Today Daily Change-10.48
Today Daily Change %-0.81
Today daily open1286.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA201299.8
Daily SMA501306.09
Daily SMA1001288.34
Daily SMA2001247.9
Levels
Previous Daily High1292.05
Previous Daily Low1271.1
Previous Weekly High1310.7
Previous Weekly Low1288.7
Previous Monthly High1327.8
Previous Monthly Low1280.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1279.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1284.05
Daily Pivot Point S11274.57
Daily Pivot Point S21262.36
Daily Pivot Point S31253.62
Daily Pivot Point R11295.52
Daily Pivot Point R21304.26
Daily Pivot Point R31316.47

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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