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GBP/ZAR Price Forecast: Early-warning signs the short-term trend may reverse

  • GBP/ZAR is giving signs and omens of a possible change in the near-term trend. 
  • These include a possible reversal pattern and the RSI moving out of oversold territory. 

GBP/ZAR has formed a temporary bottom after a steep sell-off. The pair has been steadily rising back up during the last 4-hour period (see chart below) and has now almost completely regained the lost ground from the previous, red down candle. 

GBP/ZAR 4-hour Chart 

Assuming the current period closes at the same or a higher level as it is now, it will have formed a bullish reversal pattern called a Two-Bar reversal (green rectangle on chart). 

Such a pattern suggests a possible reversal of the short-term trend. That said, it is still too early to be confident such a reversal will take place – it is merely a warning sign that the trend may be about to change. 

Accompanying the formation of the pattern is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator moving out of oversold levels (blue-shaded circle). This is a buy signal and could be another warning sign the downtrend is reaching a conclusion. 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

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