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GBP/USD rises to near 1.2540, driven by higher UK GDP

  • GBP/USD is gaining ground after the release of higher-than-expected UK GDP data on Friday.
  • The Pound Sterling may encounter challenges on a rate cut possibility by the BoE next month.
  • US Treasury yields lost ground after the release of weak US Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday.

GBP/USD edged higher to near 1.2540 during Asian hours on Friday, buoyed by the release of higher-than-expected UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the first quarter. GDP (QoQ) rose by 0.6%, reversing the previous quarter's decline of 0.3%, surpassing expectations of a 0.4% increase. Additionally, GDP (YoY) increased by 0.2%, rebounding from the previous decline of 0.2%.

However, the Pound Sterling (GBP) encountered challenges following the Bank of England’s (BoE) decision to maintain the interest rate at 5.25% on Thursday. Reuters reported that BoE Governor Andrew Bailey mentioned during the post-decision press conference that "a rate cut next month was a possibility," but he intends to wait for inflation, activity, and labor market data before deciding. This has raised the prospect of future rate cuts, putting pressure on the British Pound and weakening the GBP/USD pair.

Subsequently, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released data indicating that the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits surpassed expectations. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 3 rose to 231,000, exceeding estimates of 210,000 and showing an increase from the previous week's reading of 209,000. This suggests a potential shift toward a less hawkish policy outlook by the Federal Reserve (Fed), resulting in pressure on US Treasury yields and undermining the US Dollar (USD).

On Friday, the preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is forecasted to show a slight decrease in May. This index is a survey that evaluates sentiment among US consumers, encompassing three primary areas: personal finances, business conditions, and buying conditions.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2538
Today Daily Change0.0014
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.2524
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2481
Daily SMA501.2602
Daily SMA1001.2639
Daily SMA2001.2544
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2527
Previous Daily Low1.2446
Previous Weekly High1.2635
Previous Weekly Low1.2466
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2496
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2477
Daily Pivot Point S11.2471
Daily Pivot Point S21.2418
Daily Pivot Point S31.239
Daily Pivot Point R11.2552
Daily Pivot Point R21.258
Daily Pivot Point R31.2633

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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