|

GBP/USD recovers a major part of its intraday losses, climbs back above mid-1.2500s

  • GBP/USD attracts some dip-buyers following an intraday dip to the 1.2500 neighborhood.
  • The USD struggles to capitalize on its modest gains and lends some support to the major.
  • Bets for slower Fed rate cuts, rising US bond yields favor USD bulls and might cap gains.

The GBP/USD pair attracted fresh sellers on Tuesday and dropped to the 1.2500 neighborhood, closer to its lowest level since May 2024 during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, manage to rebound a few pips from the daily trough and currently trade around mid-1.2500s, down just over 0.10% for the day.

The underlying bullish sentiment across the global financial markets fails to assist the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) to capitalize on its modest intraday gains, which, in turn, offers some support to the GBP/USD pair. Any meaningful USD depreciation, however, seems elusive amid speculations that US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policy will reignite inflation and force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates slowly. 

Meanwhile, the initial market reaction to Scott Bessent's nomination as the US Treasury secretary turned out to be short-lived and is evident from a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields. Adding to this, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war and the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East should act as a tailwind for the safe-haven Greenback. This, in turn, might keep a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair. 

Bearish traders, however, need to wait for a sustained break and acceptance below the 1.2500 psychological mark amid reduced bets that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut rates next month. Data released last week showed that the underlying price growth in the UK gathered speed and accelerated sharply to the 2.3% YoY rate in October. This suggests that the BoE will move cautiously on rate cuts and might offer support to the British Pound (GBP). 

Investors now look forward to the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, which will be scrutinized for cues about the future rate-cut path. The attention will then shift to the first revision of the US Q3 GDP growth and the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data later this week. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.08%0.07%-0.17%0.77%0.03%0.00%0.07%
EUR-0.08% -0.01%-0.27%0.70%-0.05%-0.06%-0.01%
GBP-0.07%0.01% -0.23%0.71%-0.03%-0.05%0.00%
JPY0.17%0.27%0.23% 0.96%0.22%0.19%0.26%
CAD-0.77%-0.70%-0.71%-0.96% -0.74%-0.76%-0.70%
AUD-0.03%0.05%0.03%-0.22%0.74% -0.02%0.04%
NZD-0.01%0.06%0.05%-0.19%0.76%0.02% 0.06%
CHF-0.07%0.00%-0.00%-0.26%0.70%-0.04%-0.06% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).