|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Extends losses below 1.3100 on BoE’s dovish stance

  • GBP/USD declines 0.26% to 1.3076, after peaking at 1.3134, influenced by dovish BoE remarks and rising US Treasury yields.
  • Bearish RSI indicates seller dominance; key supports are at the 50-DMA of 1.3077, 1.3031, and 1.3001.
  • Resistance stands at 1.3100, with additional targets at 1.3134 and the October 4 high of 1.3174.

The Pound Sterling extends its losses against the Greenback in early trading during the North American session, down 0.26%. Dovish remarks by the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey began Sterling’s downfall last week. Therefore, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3076 after hitting a daily high of 1.3134.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

During the overnight session for American traders, the GBP/USD hit a three-week low of 1.3058 before recovering some ground. The jump in US Treasury yields bolstered the Greenback, which has risen to a 7-week high above 102.00 yet remains shy of 103.00.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows signs that sellers are in charge after shifting bearish. Given the backdrop, the path of least resistance for the Pound is tilted to the downside.

The first support for GBP/USD would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.3077. On further weakness, the next support would be the September 12 low of 1.3031, followed by the latest swing low of 1.3001, the September 11 low.

Conversely, if the pair rises above 1.3100, look for a re-test of the day’s high of 1.3134, ahead of challenging 1.3150. Up next will be the October 4 peak at 1.3174 before 1.3200.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.03%0.30%-0.39%0.32%0.42%0.58%-0.35%
EUR0.03% 0.40%-0.33%0.38%0.42%0.60%-0.35%
GBP-0.30%-0.40% -0.76%-0.00%0.02%0.24%-0.62%
JPY0.39%0.33%0.76% 0.70%0.78%0.91%0.07%
CAD-0.32%-0.38%0.00%-0.70% 0.11%0.25%-0.67%
AUD-0.42%-0.42%-0.02%-0.78%-0.11% 0.23%-0.73%
NZD-0.58%-0.60%-0.24%-0.91%-0.25%-0.23% -0.89%
CHF0.35%0.35%0.62%-0.07%0.67%0.73%0.89% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD weakens below 1.3250 on UK political risks, BoE repricing

The GBP/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.3245 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Traders await the UK political developments, focusing on potential leadership by Andy Burnham and adherence to existing fiscal rules. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is set to speak later in the day. On Thursday, all eyes will be on the US jobs data for June.

EUR/USD declines to near 1.1400 as softer German inflation undercuts ECB hike bets

The EUR/USD pair loses momentum to near 1.1410 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday, pressured by receding bets for aggressive tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB). Traders will take more cues from the preliminary reading of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices from the Eurozone and US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index report, which are due later in the day.

Gold's path of least resistance remains to downside ahead of Warsh

Gold comes under renewed selling pressure early Wednesday and gives up $4,000 yet again. The US Dollar stands tall on surging USD/JPY, Mideast woes and hawkish Fed bets. Gold remains poised to crack November 2025 lows near $3,930 amid bearish technicals.

Bitcoin drops near $58K as ETF outflows surge, downside risks persist

Bitcoin could see a short-term relief from heavy selling pressure as quarter-end portfolio rebalancing could potentially revive spot BTC exchange-traded funds inflows, according to a K33 report on Tuesday.

Why a hawkish Bank of Japan could trigger the next Bitcoin sell-off

The Japanese Yen hits a 40-year low of 162.00 against the US Dollar, raising concerns about intervention or additional rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. BoJ may sell US Treasuries to buy back Yen, potentially pushing US bond yields higher and making Bitcoin less attractive to investors.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.