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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Range bound around 200-DMA, awaiting BoE’s decision

  • GBP/USD trades with minor losses, movements bounded by key levels before BoE decision.
  • Technical outlook neutral to slightly bullish; resistance at recent high of 1.2594 and 50-DMA at 1.2607.
  • Break below 200-DMA at 1.2545 could trigger further declines, with supports at 1.2500 and May 1 low of 1.2466.

The Pound Sterling registers anemic losses against the US Dollar as traders brace for the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision on Thursday. The pair remained within the 1.2529-1.2594 boundaries during the last few days, capped by key support and resistance levels. The GBP/USD trades at 1.2556, down 0.04%.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart portrays the pair as neutral-biased, with momentum skewed to the upside, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI is bullish, though close to the 50-midline, an indication that volatile price action could trigger a momentum shift.

With that said the first resistance of the GBP/USD would be the May 6 high at 1.2594. Once cleared, that could pave the way to test 1.2600, ahead of the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2607. Further upside is seen at the 100-DMA at 1.2640, followed by the April 9 high at 1.2709.

On the other hand, if the GBP/USD dips below the 200-DMA at 1.2545, that would exacerbate a test of 1.2500. Once hurdled, the next support emerged at the May 1 low of 1.2466, followed by the 1.2400 figure.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2552
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.2562
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2493
Daily SMA501.2611
Daily SMA1001.2644
Daily SMA2001.2547
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2594
Previous Daily Low1.2538
Previous Weekly High1.2635
Previous Weekly Low1.2466
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2573
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.256
Daily Pivot Point S11.2536
Daily Pivot Point S21.2509
Daily Pivot Point S31.248
Daily Pivot Point R11.2592
Daily Pivot Point R21.2621
Daily Pivot Point R31.2648

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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