|

GBP/USD moves downward near 1.2720 ahead of UK CPI, PPI data

  • GBP/USD edges lower ahead of CPI, PPI data from the United Kingdom.
  • UK CPI (MoM) is expected to rise by 0.01%, while yearly inflation may ease at 4.4%.
  • US Dollar retraces its recent losses amid a dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed.

GBP/USD retraces its recent gains registered in the previous session, edging lower near 1.2720 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair receives downward pressure ahead of the slew of economic data releases from the United Kingdom (UK) on Wednesday.

UK Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), and Retail Price Index for November are scheduled to be released later in the day. The monthly consumer inflation is expected to grow by 0.01% from flat 0.0% prior. However, the year-on-year report could show an ease at 4.4% against the previous reading of 4.6%.

The Bank of England (BoE) maintained the policy rate at a 15-year high of 5.25% during its December meeting. Given the somber economic outlook and more relaxed conditions in the labor market, market participants factor in expectations for four rate cuts, starting from June 2024. The anticipated trajectory suggests the key rate could decrease from 5.25% to as low as 4.25% by the end of the next year.

BoE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden expressed on Tuesday that it would be crucial for policy to remain at restrictive levels to curb inflation pressures. While emphasizing that neither scenario represented a forecast, she noted that the high inflation scenario was "clearly the more costly". Breeden's comments align with those of Governor Andrew Bailey, who has also emphasized the importance of keeping policy restrictive.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced a decline in the previous session, trading higher around 102.20, by the press time. The US Dollar (USD) attempts to retrace its recent losses amid a dovish sentiment surrounding the US Federal Reserve (Fed), indicating the potential for monetary policy easing in early 2024.

US Housing Starts exceeded expectations at 1.56 million, surpassing the market consensus of 1.36 million. However, Building Permits slightly fell to 1.46 million, just below the forecast of 1.47 million. Investors will likely monitor Existing Home Sales Change and the CB Consumer Confidence survey on Wednesday.

GBP/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2719
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.2725
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2624
Daily SMA501.2405
Daily SMA1001.245
Daily SMA2001.2509
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2762
Previous Daily Low1.2641
Previous Weekly High1.2794
Previous Weekly Low1.2501
Previous Monthly High1.2733
Previous Monthly Low1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2716
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2687
Daily Pivot Point S11.2656
Daily Pivot Point S21.2588
Daily Pivot Point S31.2535
Daily Pivot Point R11.2777
Daily Pivot Point R21.283
Daily Pivot Point R31.2899

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).