GBP/USD - Focus on growth differential


US President Trump's "strong dollar" comment saw the GBP/USD pair drop sharply from 1.4242 to 1.4083 in the overnight trade. The move added credence to the bearish price-RSI divergence on the 1-hour time frame and created a bearish pin-bar like-candle on the daily chart.

However, the pair found bids around 1.41 levels in Asia and moved higher to 1.4192. As of writing, the currency pair is trading at 1.4180. So, the spot is still down 1.15 percent from the previous day's high of 1.4345.

That said, the pair could have another go at 1.4345 levels if the US-UK GDP differential narrows in favor of the GBP.

UK Q4 GDP due at 09:30 GMT is expected to show the economy expanded 0.4% over the quarter in Q4 2017 with an annual growth rate decelerating to 1.5% y/y from 1.7% y/y for the previous quarter. As for US GDP, the market is looking for growth to ease to 3.0% in Q4 from 3.2%.

An oversold USD could find bids, yielding a drop in GBP/USD if US Q4 GDP beats estimates. However, the downside could be limited if the UK GDP paints an upbeat picture of the economy.

GBP/USD Technical Levels

FXStreet Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik writes, " The 4 hours chart shows that the pair is currently in a consolidative stage near its highs, holding above a firmly bullish 20 SMA, over 150 pips below the current level. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart have lost their strength upward but hold within the overbought territory, increasing chances of a correction, particularly if the pair break below 1.4220, the immediate support."

Support levels: 1.4220 1.4165 1.4120

Resistance levels: 1.4300 1.4345 1.4390 

  TREND INDEX OB/OS INDEX VOLATILY INDEX
15M Bullish Neutral Shrinking
1H Bearish Neutral High
4H Bullish Neutral High
1D Bullish Neutral High
1W Overbought Expanding

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD regains traction, recovers above 1.0700

EUR/USD regains traction, recovers above 1.0700

EUR/USD regained its traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0700 in the American session. The US Dollar struggles to preserve its strength after the data from the US showed that the economy grew at a softer pace than expected in Q1.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD returns to 1.2500 area in volatile session

GBP/USD returns to 1.2500 area in volatile session

GBP/USD reversed its direction and recovered to 1.2500 after falling to the 1.2450 area earlier in the day. Although markets remain risk-averse, the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the disappointing GDP data.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data

Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data

Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.

Gold News

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

Ripple extends decline to $0.52 on Thursday, wipes out weekly gains. Crypto expert asks Ripple CTO how the stablecoin will benefit the XRP Ledger and native token XRP. 

Read more

After the US close, it’s the Tokyo CPI

After the US close, it’s the Tokyo CPI

After the US close, it’s the Tokyo CPI, a reliable indicator of the national number and then the BoJ policy announcement. Tokyo CPI ex food and energy in Japan was a rise to 2.90% in March from 2.50%.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures