|

GBP/USD faces rejection near 1.2400 mark, retreats to daily low ahead of BoE

  • GBP/USD surrenders its modest intraday gains, though the downside remains cushioned.
  • Expectations that the Fed will cut rates later this year weigh on the USD and lend support.
  • Traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of the key BoE policy decision.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick and attracts some sellers near the 1.2400 round-figure mark on Thursday. The pair retreat to the lower end of its daily range during the first half of the European session and is currently placed just above the mid-1.2300s as traders look to the Bank of England (BoE) policy decision.

The UK central bank is expected to raise interest rates for the 10th time in a row, by another 50 bps, to the highest level since autumn 2008. Investors, however, anticipate that the BoE is nearing the end of the current rate-hiking cycle amid hopes that price pressures may have peaked and looming recession risk. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for the British Pound and caps the upside for the GBP/USD pair.

That said, the downside remains cushioned, at least for now, as traders seem reluctant ahead of the key central bank event risk. Apart from this, the prevalent US Dollar selling bias might continue to lend some support to the GBP/USD pair. Worries that headwinds stemming from rising borrowing costs will lead to a sharp US economic slowdown and might force the Fed to reverse its hawkish stance continue to weigh on the buck.

Nevertheless, the aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop warrants caution for aggressive traders and before positioning for the next leg of a directional move. From a technical perspective, a sustained strength beyond the 1.2440-1.2445 region, or a multi-month top, will be seen as a fresh trigger for the GBP/USD bulls. This, in turn, will pave the way for a move towards reclaiming the 1.2500 psychological mark.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2358
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open1.2374
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2274
Daily SMA501.2188
Daily SMA1001.179
Daily SMA2001.1959
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2395
Previous Daily Low1.2272
Previous Weekly High1.2448
Previous Weekly Low1.2263
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2348
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2319
Daily Pivot Point S11.2299
Daily Pivot Point S21.2224
Daily Pivot Point S31.2177
Daily Pivot Point R11.2422
Daily Pivot Point R21.247
Daily Pivot Point R31.2545

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA, rises toward $4,500

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 on Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.