GBP/USD: Extremely pessimistic tone of the BoE stints upside potential – NBF

The British pound was little changed on the announcement of a larger-than-usual rate hike by the Bank of England (BOE) as economic projections were significantly downgraded. Economists at the National Bank of Canada expect the GBP to struggle in the near-term.
BoE warns of bleak outlook
“The BoE now expects inflation to reach 13% by year-end and remain at elevated levels for the entirety of 2023 only to fall back to 2% in 2024. The Bank’s baseline scenario is for the economy to slide into a 15-month recession, during which time GDP should contract by more than 2%. Moreover, the unemployment rate is projected to rise in the middle of 2023 and could exceed 6% by the middle of 2025.”
“We see limited upside potential for the pound in the short-term and will require some of the storm clouds to dissipate in order to make some gains later in our forecast horizon.”
Author

FXStreet Insights Team
FXStreet
The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

















