|

GBP/USD extending declines, trying to find a floor near 1.21

  • The GBP/USD continues to backslide as the Pound Sterling weakens further against the Greenback.
  • US data beats bolstering the USD, UK data-light calendar leaves the GBP to twist in the breeze.
  • Back half of the trading week to see US & UK GDP, US PCE on Friday.

The GBP/USD continues to slip around below the 1.2160 cap on Wednesday trading, dipping to a session low of 1.2110 as selling pressure looks to crack the 1.2100 handle heading into the latter half of the trading week.

A late-day rebound for the Pound Sterling (GBP) is seeing the pair stage a mild pullback to 1.2140, but USD strength continues to remain a key driver in broader markets for the day.

GDP, PCE figures to take center stage for the Thursday-Friday split

US Durable Goods Orders broadly beat expectations on Wednesday, printing at 0.2% and clearing the -0.5% forecast. Thursday will bring US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers, which markets are forecasting to print steady at 2.1%.

The GBP/USD will see some of the week's highest investor focus with the UK's GDP for the second quarter, which is expected to stay in-line with the previous reading of 0.2%, but Friday's action will likely be overshadowed by the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index.

US PCE inflation is forecast to print steady at 0.2% for the month of August, with the annualized figure slipping from 4.2% to 3.9% for the same period.

GBP/USD technical outlook

The GBP/USD is firmly embedded deep in bearish territory, and the pair is down over 4% in September alone.

The Pound Sterling is steadily trading into six-month lows against the Greenback, and the next significant technical support zone sits at March's low near 1.1800.

Technical indicators are buried deep into oversold territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator at its lowest values on a 14-day rolling timetable since 2022's September declines into 1.0840.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently sits north of 1.2400, and the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has turned down sharply, and is set to make a bearish cross of the longer MA.

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2141
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open1.2159
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2447
Daily SMA501.2631
Daily SMA1001.2634
Daily SMA2001.2434
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2216
Previous Daily Low1.2153
Previous Weekly High1.2425
Previous Weekly Low1.2231
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2177
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2192
Daily Pivot Point S11.2136
Daily Pivot Point S21.2113
Daily Pivot Point S31.2073
Daily Pivot Point R11.2199
Daily Pivot Point R21.2238
Daily Pivot Point R31.2261

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?