|

GBP/JPY rebounds from 166.50 ahead of UK/Japan PMIs, the spotlight is on Japan's Inflation

  • GBP/JPY has picked bids around 166.50 despite lower expectations for the UK PMI.
  • Japan's inflation rate is seen at 2.9% while the core CPI may slip to 0.4%.
  • UK’s Inflation at 9.1% is compelling the BOE to announce a jumbo rate hike in July.

The GBP/JPY pair was portraying selling pressure in the early trade. The cross moved gradually lower in the initial hour and later extended its losses to near 166.45, however, some recovery has been witnessed. On a broader note, the asset is rock solid on the continuation of the ultra-loose monetary policy by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

The June meeting minutes from the BOJ released on Wednesday dictated that the majority of the BOJ policymakers are in favor of sticking to a prudent monetary policy and injecting liquidity into the economy to support the aggregate demand. A weak yen is beneficial for increasing exports.

Although the annual inflation rate has comfortably crossed the target rate of 2%, the price pressures are mostly contaminated by healthy food and fossil fuel prices. Therefore, considering a hawkish tone on policy rates won’t be an optimal decision. Going forward, the release of the Japanese inflation will keep investors busy. As per the market consensus, the annual Japanese inflation rate is seen at 2.9%, higher than the prior print of 2.5%. While the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) may be half to 0.4%.

On the pound front, a higher inflation rate at 9.1% released on Wednesday has bolstered the odds of a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BOE) in its July monetary policy. The UK economy is displaying the highest price rise rate than the other Western leaders.

In today’s session, the focus will remain on the Purchase Managers Index (PMI) figures. Japan’s Manufacturing PMI is seen at 54.4 vs. 53.3 recorded earlier. While the Services PMI may slip to 52.2 from the former figure of 52.6.

The UK’s Manufacturing PMI is seen lower at 53.7 from the prior print of 54.6. And, the Services PMI will slip to 53 vs. 53.4 prior.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price166.62
Today Daily Change-0.56
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open167.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20164.24
Daily SMA50162.82
Daily SMA100160.04
Daily SMA200156.8
 
Levels
Previous Daily High167.86
Previous Daily Low165.77
Previous Weekly High166.22
Previous Weekly Low160
Previous Monthly High163.91
Previous Monthly Low155.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%166.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%167.06
Daily Pivot Point S1166.02
Daily Pivot Point S2164.85
Daily Pivot Point S3163.93
Daily Pivot Point R1168.11
Daily Pivot Point R2169.03
Daily Pivot Point R3170.2

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD shows resilience below 38.2% Fibo. near mid-0.7100s

The AUD/USD pair touches a one-and-a-half-week low, around the 0.7140 region during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks follow-through. Spot prices currently trade just above mid-0.7100s, down nearly 0.25% for the day.


USD/JPY: Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and climbs closer to the 154.00 mark during the Asian session, reversing a part of Friday's losses. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a range held over the past week or so and within striking distance of a nearly seven-month low, touched last Tuesday, as traders await this week's key central bank events.


Gold: Fed’s rate decision to drive the next move
Gold reflects a subdued performance at the start of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy week at around $4,330. Fed’s interest rate expectations heavily influenced last week after the release of the hot United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports for August.
Bitcoin consolidates, Ethereum faces hurdle, XRP nears key support
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) start the week near crucial technical levels after a broadly bearish performance, correcting over 4%, 1.5% and 5% last week. BTC consolidates around $77,600, while ETH approaches key $2,550 resistance. Meanwhile, XRP trades near its key level around $1.354, making this support level crucial for its near-term outlook.
US Dollar Weekly Forecast: The last line of defense

There was no respite to the downward trend for the US Dollar this week, which added to the prior week’s retracement and at some point flirted with the area of four-month lows. Indeed, after trading at levels just shy of its psychological 100.00 barrier early in the month, the US Dollar Index has come all the way down to challenge the 98.50 zone, extending its negative streak for the third month in a row.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.