|

Forex Today: The Dollar remains on the defensive, looks at US CPI

A negative start to the week saw the Greenback under pressure, while the risk complex managed to regain some composure and US yields climbed slightly across the curve. Traders, in the meantime, continued to assess the latest Payrolls prints ahead of the key US CPI, FOMC Minutes, and the ECB event.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, April 9:

The US Dollar resumed the downtrend on Monday amidst rising cautiousness prior to key US releases later in the week. On April 9, the NFIB Business Optimism Index is due, seconded by the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index, the API’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories, and the speech by Minneapolis Fed N. Kashkari.

EUR/USD kicked off the week in quite strong fashion, leaving behind Friday’s pullback and revisiting the 1.0860 region once again.

GBP/USD followed its risk-linked peers and advanced markedly to two-day highs near 1.2660, an area coincident with the 100-day SMA. The BRC Retail Sales Monitor is expected on April 9.

USD/JPY added to Friday’s gains, although it faltered once again in levels just shy of the key 152.00 hurdle. The Consumer Confidence gauge and Machine Tools Orders are due on April 9 in the Japanese docket.

AUD/USD reclaimed the area beyond the 0.6600 mark, advancing to two-day highs amidst further dollar weakness. On April 9, Westpac’s Consumer Confidence Index and the Consumer Confidence Change tracked by NAB are all due.

Dwindling geopolitical jitters weighed on crude oil prices and sparked the second daily pullback in WTI prices on Monday.

Prices of gold maintained their upside momentum well in place, advancing to an all-time high past $2,350. Silver prices advanced further north of the $28.00 mark per ounce for the first time since mid-June 2021.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Week ahead: US CPI, France’s budget crisis and Q3 earnings to set the market tone
The US dollar held relatively strong this week, despite the disappointing US jobs report on October 2, which further decreased the probability of a back-to-back rate hike by the Fed at the upcoming gathering on October 28.
CFTC Report: Euro and Aussie shorts expand amid diverging signals

The week in one sentence: Euro and Australian Dollar shorts deepened in the week to October 6, while Yen longs rebuilt. In addition, Coffee buying continued, and Gold exposure remained elevated despite another price decline. Speculators turned more negative on the Euro, increasing the net exposure to around 99.3K contracts.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?