|

Forex Today: Speculation about the Brexit vote, assessing Chinese mixed figures, and the Fed's last rate hint

Here is what you need to know on Friday, October 18:

  • Brexit remains in the spotlight as Prime Minister Boris Johnson is scrambling to get the votes in parliament to support his Brexit deal. The UK and the EU announced a deal on Thursday, sending sterling higher. However, the Democratic Unionist Party's rejection of the deal and uncertainty about what happens in case parliament fails to pass it limit the pound's gains. The House of Commons votes on the deal on Saturday and speculation about the vote is set to dominate trading.  An extension, a second referendum, elections, and also a hard Brexit are on the cards. See Brexit: Four scenarios and GBP/USD reactions as the deal reaches parliament
  • The impact goes well beyond GBP/USD. The US Dollar remains on the back foot amid a risk-on atmosphere.
  • China reported Gross Domestic Gross of 6% yearly in the third quarter, the worst since the 1990s, and lower than expected. On the other hand, Industrial Production rose by 5.8% in September, substantially above expectations and providing relief. 
  • John Williams, President of the New York branch of the Federal Reserve, expressed optimism about the US economy and seemed reluctant to cut rates again later this month. Vice-Chair Richard Clarida speaks later today and will be the last Fed official to talk ahead of the October 30 decision. 
  • Turkey has agreed to pause its operations in Northern Syria, allowing the Kurds to retreat. The Turkish lira strengthened. 
  • Cryptocurrencies have stabilized. Ripple's XRP has retreated from the $0.30 level it topped on Thursday.

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.