|

Forex Today: Markets quiet down on Black Friday

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 25:

The trading action in financial markets remains subdued amid thin volumes on Black Friday. Following the Thanksgiving Day holiday, bond and stock markets will close early and the economic calendar won't be offering any high-impact macroeconomic data releases. Profit-taking ahead of the weekend could ramp up the volatility in the second half of the day and cause irregular movements in major currency pairs. Meanwhile, US stock index futures edge higher in the early European morning, pointing to a slightly upbeat market mood. 

During the Asian trading hours, China reported 32,695 coronavirus cases, setting a daily record of infections for the second straight day. Chinese officials ordered mass testing and decided to tighten restrictions in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. Nevertheless, the Shanghai Composite Index clings to modest daily gains and the Hang Seng Index is down only 0.3% toward the end of the week.

On energy-related news, Saudi and Iraqi energy ministers issued a statement early Friday, saying that they will introduce additional measures to ensure stability in the oil market. After falling nearly 5% on Wednesday, crude oil prices started to inch higher in the second half of the week and the barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was last seen gaining 0.5% on the day at $78.30.

EUR/USD failed to make a decisive move in either direction on Thursday and closed the day flat. The pair continues to fluctuate in a narrow range at around 1.0400 early Friday.

GBP/USD touched its highest level in three months at 1.2155 on Thursday but lost its bullish momentum. At the time of press, the pair was moving sideways near 1.2100. Nonetheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the third week in positive territory.

USD/JPY fluctuates in a narrow range below 139.00 early Friday. The data from Japan showed the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Tokyo climbed to 3.8% from 3.5% in October. This reading came in higher than the market expectation of 3.6% but failed to trigger a noticeable market reaction.

Statistics New Zealand announced earlier in the day that Retail Sales expanded by 0.3% on a quarterly basis in the third quarter, compared to analysts' estimate for a contraction of 3.4%. Despite the better-than-forecast data, NZD/USD struggled to gather bullish momentum and was last seen trading at around 0.6250.

Gold price registered small daily gains and closed above $1,750 on Thursday. XAU/USD advanced beyond $1,760 in the Asian session but retreated to $1,755 in the European morning. 

Following a two-day rally, Bitcoin closed flat on Thursday but lost its traction on Friday. BTC/USD was last seen losing more than 1% on the day at $16,400. Ethereum is down nearly 2% on the day, trading below $1,200.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stuck as the RBA talks tough into a slowdown

The Australian Dollar is going nowhere in a hurry, and the contradiction at its core explains why. The Reserve Bank of Australia keeps dangling the prospect of another hike, yet the economy it governs just expanded 0.3% in the first quarter, a clear step down from the prior pace. A central bank threatening to tighten into a visible slowdown is not a recipe for conviction in either direction, and the tape shows it.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen coiled at the line, leaning on everyone but Japan

The Yen is doing very little, and that stasis is the whole story. USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 not because Japan has found new strength, but because two outside forces are fighting to a draw over it: a US rate complex that keeps the dollar bid, and a Ministry of Finance that refuses to let the line break.

Gold declines below $4,500 on stalled US-Iran ceasefire talks, US NFP data looms

Gold price edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.