|

Forex Today: Consumer confidence gauges take centre stage

As market players digested news that President Trump backpedalled on his threats of levying 50% taxes on European products, the US Dollar (USD) stayed on the defensive in quite a poor start to the new trading week.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, May 27:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) briefly eased to five-week lows on Monday, slipping back below the 99.00 support on the back of the erratic trade policy by the White House. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence print will be in the spotlight, seconded by Durable Goods Orders, the FHFA’s House Price Index, and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index. In addition, the Fed’s Kashkari is due to speak.

EUR/USD flirted with multi-week highs north of 1.1400 the figure against the backdrop of renewed optimism on the trade front. Germany’s GfK Consumer Confidence will be published alongside the EMU’s Economic Sentiment, the final print of the Consumer Confidence, and the Consumer Inflation Expectations survey.

Extra strength sent GBP/USD to more than three-year highs just pips away from the 1.3600 barrier amid further weakness hurting the Greenback. The CBI Distributive Trades survey will be the only data release across the Channel.

Following new monthly lows near 142.20, USD/JPY managed to regain some composure and end the day with modest gains, reversing part of the multi-day leg lower. Next on tap on the Japanese docket will be the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures and May’s Consumer Confidence, all due on May 29.

AUD/USD rose to levels last seen in late November 2024, beyond the key 0.6500 hurdle on Monday, although it receded a tad afterwards. The RBA’s Monthly CPI Indicator and Construction Work Done are next in Oz on May 28.

WTI resumed its decline on Monday, approaching the $61.00 mark per barrel despite the improved sentiment on the trade front after President Trump’s pivot regarding tariffs on the EU.

In reaction to reports that President Trump has extended the deadline for trade talks with the EU, the price of Gold pulled back from Friday's marked advance and traded near the $3,320 area per troy ounce. Similarly, Silver prices have gotten off to a slow start this week, with selling pressure building near the $33.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).