|

Fed Policy Report: Ongoing increases in fed funds rate target are necessary

Below are the key takeaways from the US Federal Reserve's semi-annual Monetary Policy Report published on Friday, per Reuters.

Key takeaways

"Financial conditions have tightened further since June and are significantly tighter than a year ago."

"Ongoing increases in the fed funds rate target are necessary."

"Strongly committed to getting inflation back to 2%."

"Business credit quality remains strong, but some indicators of future business defaults are somewhat elevated."

"Financial vulnerabilities remain moderate overall."

"Net negative income does not impede monetary policy work."

"Expecting to return to net positive income at some point."

"Market liquidity remained low in Treasury and other key markets versus pre-pandemic levels."

"Bringing inflation back to 2% likely requires period of below-trend growth, some softening of labor market conditions."

"Underlying momentum in the economy likely remains subdued."

"Valuation pressures in equity markets have increased modestly."

"For core services ex-housing sector, inflation remains elevated; prospects for it slowing may depend in part on an easing of tight labor market conditions."

"Core foreign inflation remains high and inflationary pressures are broad."

"Some signs of increased stress for lower-income households as near-prime, subprime delinquency rates have risen."

"Fed rate control toolkit effective at maintaining federal funds rate."

"Will adjust balance sheet drawdown process if there is a need to."

"Strong reverse repo takeup reflects market rates and investor caution."

"Labor market has remained extremely tight and there is a significant labor supply shortfall relative to the levels expected before the pandemic."

"Tight labor market conditions have largely erased pandemic-induced widening of employment gaps across demographic groups."

"Officials mindful of monetary policy rules, don’t use them to drive policy."

"Rate hikes have narrowed gap between policy rule settings and real-world level."

"Labor force participation rate is likely to remain well below its level from before the pandemic."

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index showed no immediate reaction to this publication and was last seen trading flat at 104.93.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.