|

Euro weakens for second day, Greenback rebounds on Fed guidance and strong US data

  • EUR/USD extends losses for a second day as the US Dollar firms.
  • The US Dollar Index rebounds to 97.50 after briefly touching fresh year-to-date lows at 96.22 post-Fed.
  • Stronger US data added to Dollar momentum as Jobless Claims fell to 231K, while the Philadelphia Fed index surged to 23.2.

The Euro (EUR) trades on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with EUR/USD extending its decline for the second straight day as renewed Greenback strength weighs on the pair.

At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1784, down nearly 0.25% on the day. Meanwhile, the US Dollar index, which tracks the value of the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, is edging higher after reversing sharply from fresh year-to-date lows of 96.22 touched in the immediate aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision. The index is now hovering near 97.50.

On Wednesday, the Fed delivered its first rate cut since December, lowering the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to the 4.00%-4.25% range. While the move was widely expected and largely priced in, markets quickly shifted focus to the updated dot plot and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.

The median dot for 2025 interest rates drifted lower, implying around 50 bps of additional easing by year-end to a target range of 3.50-3.75%, though a sizable minority of officials saw just one or no more cuts. Projections for 2026 and 2027 shifted lower as well, pointing at 3.4% and 3.1%, respectively, before stabilizing at 3.0% in the longer run.

At his press conference, Fed Chair Powell described the decision as a “risk management cut,” stressing that monetary policy is “not on a preset course” and will be guided “meeting by meeting.” He underlined that the balance of risks has shifted compared with earlier this year, with softer employment offsetting lingering inflation pressure. While reiterating the Fed’s commitment to restoring inflation to 2%, Powell emphasized there was “no widespread support” for a larger 50 bps cut and said the central bank does not feel the need to move quickly on rates.

Powell’s cautious tone helped the US Dollar rebound as traders scaled back expectations for a rapid easing cycle. Thursday’s US economic releases added to the Dollar’s momentum. Initial Jobless Claims fell to 231K in the week ending September 13, better than the 240K expected, while the previous week was revised higher to 264K from 263K. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for September surged to 23.2, sharply above the 2.3 expected and a rebound from -0.3 in August.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.24%0.66%0.67%0.21%0.58%1.34%0.35%
EUR-0.24%0.30%0.42%-0.01%0.33%1.20%0.13%
GBP-0.66%-0.30%0.12%-0.32%0.02%0.82%-0.16%
JPY-0.67%-0.42%-0.12%-0.46%-0.15%0.65%-0.28%
CAD-0.21%0.01%0.32%0.46%0.36%1.27%0.15%
AUD-0.58%-0.33%-0.02%0.15%-0.36%0.90%-0.19%
NZD-1.34%-1.20%-0.82%-0.65%-1.27%-0.90%-0.96%
CHF-0.35%-0.13%0.16%0.28%-0.15%0.19%0.96%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD weakens to two-week lows near 0.6960

AUD/USD clinches its second consecutive daily pullback as market participants continue to assess the RBA’s rate hike earlier in the day. Indeed, the pair slipped back toward the 0.6960 zone, or multi-day troughs, following the less-hawkish-than-expected message from the RBA after it hiked the OCR by 25 bps, as widely anticipated.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP under pressure as investors pull capital

Bitcoin trades downward at $76,566 on Tuesday, testing six-week lows. Ethereum, like Bitcoin, trades under pressure as it consolidates within a narrow support range. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers marginally above $1.25.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.