|

Euro erases weekly gains upbeat US jobs data fuel Dollar rally

  • EUR/USD erases weekly gains as stronger-than-expected US jobs data boosts the US Dollar.
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls rise by 165K in October, well above the 65K forecast.
  • Weak Eurozone Retail Sales and cautious ECB commentary add to the Euro's downside pressure.

EUR/USD slips on Friday, erasing all gains recorded this week as stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data boosts demand for the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1132, down 0.77% on the day.

The US economy added 165K jobs in October, more than double the 65K forecast, while September’s increase was revised higher to 60K from 29K. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

Wage growth also beat forecasts. Average Hourly Earnings rose 0.4% MoM, above the 0.3% expected. Annual wage growth eased to 3.1% from 3.2%, but came above the 2.9% forecast.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of six major currencies, trades around 102.33, up 0.73% on the day.

The figures point to a resilient labour market, a view shared by most Fed officials. Against this backdrop, another rate hike in December remains in play as the Fed stays committed to bringing inflation back to its 2% target. Inflation risks remain tilted to the upside, particularly from higher energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict.

Across the Atlantic, weaker-than-expected Eurozone Retail Sales also weigh on the Euro. Sales fell 0.7% MoM in September, compared with a 0.1% decline expected, following a 2% drop in August. Annual growth slowed to 0.4% from 1.3%, below the 0.6% forecast.

On the monetary policy front, traders expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates again in December, though policymakers remain cautious. Chief Economist Philip Lane said on Friday that inflation needs to return to target within a year or two, while noting that financial conditions have already tightened. “Let’s gather information between now and December and let’s see what we do in December,” Lane said, echoing ECB President Christine Lagarde’s remarks on Thursday.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.77%0.79%0.40%0.80%1.12%1.20%0.54%
EUR-0.77%0.03%-0.37%0.04%0.35%0.43%-0.23%
GBP-0.79%-0.03%-0.38%0.01%0.33%0.41%-0.25%
JPY-0.40%0.37%0.38%0.41%0.73%0.80%0.15%
CAD-0.80%-0.04%-0.01%-0.41%0.31%0.39%-0.27%
AUD-1.12%-0.35%-0.33%-0.73%-0.31%0.08%-0.58%
NZD-1.20%-0.43%-0.41%-0.80%-0.39%-0.08%-0.64%
CHF-0.54%0.23%0.25%-0.15%0.27%0.58%0.64%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.