|

EUR/USD trims gains as fresh Trump tariff threats, Iran woes lift USD

  • Trump threatens to raise EU auto tariffs to 25% from 15%, weighing on the EUR/USD pair.
  • Trump says he isn't happy about the latest proposal sent by Tehran, adding uncertainty and fueling safe-haven demand for the USD.
  • USD rebounds from two-week lows amid intensifying geopolitical risks.

The EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.1730 level on Friday's late American session, trimming almost all its intraday gains, after United States (US) President Donald Trump threatened to raise the tariff rate on European Union (EU) cars and trucks from 15% to 25% and said he isn't happy with the latest proposal sent by Iran to end the war.

Iran passed a peace talks offer through Pakistan to try and strike a deal with the US, though the details and demands from Tehran remain unknown. US President Trump claimed that “we made strides in talks with Iran, but I'm not sure we're going to get to a deal,” and added that he is not satisfied with the current proposal because Iran is asking for things "he is not comfortable agreeing with".

When asked about potential missile strikes on Iran, US President Trump said: “Why would I tell you that?”, adding to the uncertainty. The heightened uncertainty over the fate of the latest proposal has supported the US Dollar (USD) as a safe haven, whichhas recovered from a two-week low.

Chart Analysis EUR/USD

Short-term technical analysis:

On the four-hour chart, EUR/USD trades at 1.1730, hovering between nearby moving averages and maintaining a broadly neutral bias. The pair holds above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1713, which lends modest downside support, but it remains capped by the 100-period SMA at 1.1736 and the horizontal barrier at 1.1744. The Relative Strength Index around 53 hints at mildly positive momentum, yet the proximity of overhead levels suggests limited upside unless buyers can force a sustained break higher.

On the topside, immediate resistance is located at the 100-period SMA at 1.1736, followed by the horizontal hurdle at 1.1744. A clearance of these levels would open the way toward 1.1757 and then 1.1785. On the downside, initial support is seen at the nearby horizontal floor at 1.1729, with the 20-period SMA at 1.1713 reinforcing the underlying demand area. A break below this latter level would expose a deeper corrective phase in the short term.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Agustin Wazne

Agustin Wazne joined FXStreet as a Junior News Editor, focusing on Commodities and covering Majors.

More from Agustin Wazne
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds lower ground near 1.3450 on USD rebound

GBP/USD trades in negative territory around 1.3450 in the European trading hours on Friday. Heightened Middle East tensions and rising global oil prices provide some support for the safe-haven US Dollar (USD), weighing on the pair. The US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be published later on Friday. 


EUR/USD falls to near 1.1500 as USD finds haven demand

EUR/USD drops to near 1.1600 in early Europe on Friday. The US Dollar finds fresh haven demand and exerts downside pressure on the major, as escalating tensions in the Middle East weigh on risk sentiment. Traders will likely stay cautious ahead of the Eurozone preliminary inflation data.

Gold sticks to losses as Iran risks revive USD demand

Gold meets with a fresh supply on Friday as the US Dollar rebounds from a one-and-a-half-month trough. Escalating US-Iran tensions keep inflation risks and Fed rate hike bets in play, supporting the USD. The technical setup seems tilted in favor of bearish traders and backs the case for further losses.


Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Indian Rupee hits fresh two-week high against US Dollar

The Indian Rupee extends the week-long rally against the US Dollar on Friday. The USD/INR pair slides to a fresh over two-week low near 95.30 due to the overnight slump in the US Dollar amid growing doubts regarding whether the Federal Reserve is seriously committed to bringing the United States inflation down.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.