|

EUR/USD remains under pressure, treads waters around 1.0720

  • EUR/USD weakened due to the Eurozone's downbeat economic data.
  • Eurozone soft statistics increase the odds of the ECB shifting away from its hawkish stance.
  • 10-year US bond yield rose by 1.85%; contributing to the strength of the US Dollar (USD).

EUR/USD hovers around 1.0720 during the Asian session on Wednesday, treading waters to snap the previous day’s losses. The pair is under pressure due to disappointing data from the Eurozone released on Tuesday.

Eurozone Producer Price Index (PPI) for July reduced to -0.5% on a monthly basis and -7.6% on an annual basis from -0.4% and -3.4% respective priors. Further, HCOB Composite PMI for August declined to 46.7 from the previous reading of 47, which was expected to remain unchanged.

The discouraging statistics have increased the likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) shifting away from its hawkish stance due to concerns about a potential recession. This is exerting downward pressure on the EUR/USD currency pair.

ECB President Christine Lagarde advocated that central banks maintain a strong anchor on inflation expectations. In a similar vein, Joachim Nagel, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank and a member of the ECB Council, also offered support for price stability but refrained from offering additional specifics at that time.

Furthermore, The Currency, an Irish business publication, published on Tuesday, an interview with ECB Chief Economist Phillip Lane on August 31. In the interview, Lane commended the softening of the August inflation data. Nevertheless, he emphasized the importance of maintaining such favorable statistics to resist the pressure from the more hawkish members of the ECB.

US Dollar Index (DXY), which compares the Greenback against six other major currencies, trades higher around 104.80 at the time of writing. the upbeat yields on US Treasury bonds help the buck to maintain its strength. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.26%, up by 1.85%.

However, United States (US) Factory Orders for July plummeted to their lowest levels since mid-2020, with a month-on-month decline of -2.1%, far below the anticipated -0.1%, and swinging from the 2.3% growth seen previously.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller told to CNBC that the decision to raise rates or halt rate increases would be contingent on the data. Waller also stated that data is indicating a favorable outlook for a soft-landing scenario, a sentiment that bolstered the strength of the US Dollar.

Market participants will likely watch the upcoming data scheduled to be released later in the day. These datasets include German Factory Orders and Eurozone Retail Sales for July. On the US docket, the US ISM Services PMI for August and US S&P Global PMIs are due. These releases will offer insights to strategize the bets on the EUR/USD pair.

EUR/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0721
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.0722
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0865
Daily SMA501.0961
Daily SMA1001.0918
Daily SMA2001.082
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0798
Previous Daily Low1.0706
Previous Weekly High1.0946
Previous Weekly Low1.0772
Previous Monthly High1.1065
Previous Monthly Low1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0742
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0763
Daily Pivot Point S11.0686
Daily Pivot Point S21.065
Daily Pivot Point S31.0594
Daily Pivot Point R11.0778
Daily Pivot Point R21.0834
Daily Pivot Point R31.087

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.