|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: The first downside target is located at 1.0840

  • EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the second consecutive day near 1.0875. 
  • The pair resumes a bearish outlook below the key EMA; RSI momentum indicator holds below the 50-midline. 
  • The initial support level is located at 1.0840; the first upside barrier will emerge at 1.0882.

The EUR/USD pair loses momentum below the 1.0900 mark during the early European session on Friday. The firmer US Dollar (USD) following the upbeat US February PPI data and Initial Jobless Claims have triggered the possibility that the Federal Reserve might delay the interest rate cuts next week, which exerts some selling pressure on the major pair. EUR/USD currently trades near 1.0875, losing 0.09% on the day. 

According to the four-hour chart, EUR/USD resumes a bearish outlook as the major pair holds below the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The downward momentum is also supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which lies below the 50-midline, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the downside. 

The initial support level for EUR/USD is located near a low of March 5 at 1.0840. The key contention level is seen at the confluence of a low of February 22 and a psychological mark at 1.0800. The additional downside filter to watch is a low of February 20 at 1.0761, followed by a low of February 15 at 1.0725.

On the bright side, the first upside barrier will emerge at the 100-period EMA at 1.0882. Any follow-through buying above the latter will attract some buyers to a high of March 14 at 1.0955, followed by the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.0971. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.1000, representing a round mark and a high of January 11. 

EUR/USD four-hour chart 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0874
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.0883
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0859
Daily SMA501.0853
Daily SMA1001.0855
Daily SMA2001.0838
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0956
Previous Daily Low1.0881
Previous Weekly High1.0981
Previous Weekly Low1.0838
Previous Monthly High1.0898
Previous Monthly Low1.0695
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0909
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0927
Daily Pivot Point S11.0857
Daily Pivot Point S21.0832
Daily Pivot Point S31.0783
Daily Pivot Point R11.0932
Daily Pivot Point R21.0981
Daily Pivot Point R31.1007

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold rises to record high above $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold rises and hits its record high around $4,505 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the Israel-Iran conflict and the rising in US-Venezuela tensions boost the safe-haven demand. Furthermore, the recent soft US inflation and cool jobs reports have fueled market expectations for at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve next year. 

The crypto market is preparing us for a deeper global sell-off

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.4% to $2.97T, falling below the $3T mark once again. The market was unable to repeat the robust rebound from the local bottom, as it did after 23 November and 2 December, indicating increased pressure from sellers.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.