EUR/USD Price Analysis: Languishes near multi-month low, setup favours bearish traders


Share:
  • EUR/USD consolidates its recent losses to the lowest level since March touched last week.
  • The fundamental backdrop favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further losses.
  • The recent down leg along a downward-sloping channel also validates the negative outlook.

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around mid-1.0600s through the Asian session. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain well within the striking distance of the lowest level since March touched last Friday and seem vulnerable to prolonging the downward trajectory witnessed over the past two months or so.

The US Dollar (USD) stands tall near a more than six-month peak and remains well supported by elevated US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook and the reduction in the expected number of rate cuts in 2024. The shared currency, on the other hand, is undermined by the European Central Bank's (ECB) dovish rate decision last Thursday, which further contributes to keeping a lid on the EUR/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, the negative outlook is reinforced by the fact that the downfall from the 1.1275 area, or a 17-month peak touched in July, has been along a downward sloping channel. This points to a well-established bearish trend and suggests that the path of least resistance for the EUR/USD pair is to the downside. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are holding deep in the negative territory and are still away from being in the oversold zone.

Hence, a subsequent slide towards the 1.0600 round figure, en route to the ascending channel support, currently pegged near the 1.0560-1.0555 region, looks like a distinct possibility. Some follow-through selling will mark a fresh bearish breakdown and set the stage for an extension of the EUR/USD pair's over a two-month-old downtrend.

On the flip side, any recovery beyond the 1.0670 area is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 1.0700 mark. This is followed by last week's swing high, around the 1.0735 region, which if cleared decisively could lift the EUR/USD pair towards challenging the 1.0780 hurdle, representing the top boundary of the aforementioned channel. A convincing breakout, leading to a subsequent move beyond the 1.0800 round figure, will suggest that spot prices have formed a near-term bottom and pave the way for some meaningful near-term appreciating move.

EUR/USD daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0646
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.02
Today daily open 1.0648
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0738
Daily SMA50 1.0885
Daily SMA100 1.0877
Daily SMA200 1.083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0672
Previous Daily Low 1.0615
Previous Weekly High 1.0737
Previous Weekly Low 1.0615
Previous Monthly High 1.1065
Previous Monthly Low 1.0766
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0637
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.065
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0618
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0588
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0562
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0675
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0702
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0731

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content


Follow us on Telegram

Stay updated of all the news

Join Telegram

Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops below 1.0800 ahead of key US jobs data

EUR/USD drops below 1.0800 ahead of key US jobs data

EUR/USD is dropping below 1.0800 in the European session on Wednesday. The pair is dragged by a renewed uptick in the US Dollar, as markets trade with caution ahead of a busy EU and US economic docket. US ADP is the key event risk. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD battles 1.2600, with eyes on US ADP data

GBP/USD battles 1.2600, with eyes on US ADP data

GBP/USD is trading close to 1.2600, snapping a two-day losing streak in European trading on Wednesday. The modest US Dollar decline acts as a tailwind for the pair but the Pound Sterling struggles amid a cautious market mood. US jobs data awaited. 

GBP/USD News

Gold finds buyers near $2,020, awaits US ADP jobs data

Gold finds buyers near $2,020, awaits US ADP jobs data

Gold is finding a floor near $2,020 early Wednesday, snapping a two-day correction from all-time highs of $2,144 set on Monday. XAU/USD price capitalizes on a broad US Dollar retreat, as Greenback buyers take a breather following this week’s upswing and ahead of the top-tier US ADP Employment Change data.

Gold News

Bitcoin-based meme coin ORDI price action wobbles after 1,100% rally

Bitcoin-based meme coin ORDI price action wobbles after 1,100% rally

The Bitcoin-based BRC-20 meme coin, which had people confused as being an actual valuable token, is now slowly creeping up to that status. ORDI price rise over the past couple of days has been astonishing, and with BTC driving the price and crossing $44,000, ORDI is also gaining rapidly. But not for long.

Read more

The Dollar is struggling to trend

The Dollar is struggling to trend

For the last three trading sessions, the dollar index has been crossing up and down the 200-day moving average every day. All in all, the flirting with this level has been going on for more than three weeks, during which neither bulls nor bears were able to form a stable trend.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures