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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Gains traction above the 1.0500 mark, German trade data looms

  • EUR/USD gains traction for two straight days amid the USD softness. 
  • The major pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour EMAs with a non-directional RSI. 
  • The immediate resistance level for EUR/USD is located at 1.0543; the first support level is seen at 1.0488.

The EUR/USD pair gains momentum during the early European session on Thursday. Market players await the German Trade Balance for August, which is expected to decline to €15B from the previous reading of €15.9B. The major pair currently trades around 1.0525, up 0.20% on the day. 

According to the four-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with a downward slope, which means the path of least resistance for the pair is to the downside. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located in the 40-60 zone, indicating a non-directional movement in the major pair.

That being said, the immediate resistance level for EUR/USD is located near the 50-hour EMA at 1.0543. The additional upside filter will emerge near the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.0565. Any follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to 1.0600, representing the confluence of the 100-hour EMA and a psychological round mark. Further north, the cross will challenge the next hurdle at 1.0635 (a low of September 14), followed by 1.0670 (a high of September 22), and finally at a psychological figure at 1.0700.

On the downside, the first support level is seen at a low of September 27 at 1.0488. The next contention to watch is near a low of October 3 at 1.0448. The next downside stop is located at 1.0433 (the lower limit of the Bollinger Band). A decisive break below the latter will see a drop to a round mark at 1.0400. 

EUR/USD four-hour chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0522
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1.0504
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0626
Daily SMA501.0788
Daily SMA1001.0847
Daily SMA2001.0827
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0532
Previous Daily Low1.0451
Previous Weekly High1.0656
Previous Weekly Low1.0488
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0501
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0482
Daily Pivot Point S11.046
Daily Pivot Point S21.0415
Daily Pivot Point S31.0379
Daily Pivot Point R11.0541
Daily Pivot Point R21.0577
Daily Pivot Point R31.0622

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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