|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Daily W-formation could be playing out, eyes on break of 1.0820/00

Following on from prior analysis on Monday, EUR/USD bulls remain in a precarious position on the charts, swamped by offers below the 1.0850s following a break of a microstructure around 1.0820. The following depicts the prospects of a significant breakout to the downside for the days ahead. 

EUR/USD H4 chart

The price is moving into the 38.2% Fibonacci area as measured across the bearish impulse range between 1.0801 and 1.0874. Failures to break above the latter would be expected to see net shorts building up to swallow up the length that will eat into the in-the-money bulls from 1.0700 breakouts. 

The above thesis is built upon the daily chart's W-formation as follows: 

The W-pattern is a reverison formation and the price is expected to dip into the bullish impulse for a restest for prior structure if not all the way into the neckline. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD treads water around 1.3500 as Hormuz risks support USD

After closing the previous week in positive territory, GBP/USD trades with caution around 1.3500 on Monday. The pair faces headwinds from a modest US Dollar rebound as mood sours on persistent uncertainty surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD steady near 1.1550 as USD selloff pauses

EUR/USD keeps its range near 1.1550 in the second half of the day on Monday, holding the retreat from fresh highs since June 17, touched in reaction to the disappointing US jobs data on Friday. Renewed Middle East tensions lend support to the safe-haven US Dollar, capping the pair's upside attempts despite improved Eurozone sentiment data.

Gold holds firm as Fed rate outlook, Middle East developments remain in focus
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm on Monday as buyers take a breather following last week’s sharp rally, with the broader market theme still centred on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook and developments in the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,333, little changed on the day.
Pi Network: Mild bearish bias caps PI corrective rebound

Pi Network extends losses Monday after a bearish close the previous day, as price remains capped below the $0.1000 psychological threshold. Speculative demand for PI is low, with Open Interest holding above $9 million as broader market sentiment improves. The technical outlook for PI indicates a mild bearish bias as the $0.0961 resistance level remains intact.

US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.