|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: A deeper drop could retest 1.0830

  • EUR/USD adds to Friday’s corrective decline well below 1.1000.
  • The weekly low near 1.0830 emerges as the next support of note.

EUR/USD retreats to 3-day lows in the mid-1.0900s following a failed attempt to retake the key barrier at 1.1000 the figure on Monday.

Further weakness appears on the cards in the very near term for the pair. Against that, there is an initial support at the weekly low at 1.0831 (April 10) prior to April low at 1.0788 (April 3).

Looking at the longer run, the constructive view remains unchanged while above the 200-day SMA, today at 1.0373.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0954
Today Daily Change49
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.0992
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0878
Daily SMA501.0743
Daily SMA1001.071
Daily SMA2001.037
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1076
Previous Daily Low1.0972
Previous Weekly High1.1076
Previous Weekly Low1.0837
Previous Monthly High1.093
Previous Monthly Low1.0516
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1012
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1036
Daily Pivot Point S11.0951
Daily Pivot Point S21.091
Daily Pivot Point S31.0847
Daily Pivot Point R11.1054
Daily Pivot Point R21.1117
Daily Pivot Point R31.1158

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds recovery gains near 1.3400 despite soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400 in European trading on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, failing to deter the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. However, the pair's further upside could be limited by ongoing Mideast tensions and sustained US Dollar demand as a haven.

EUR/USD gains ground above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB tone

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1410 during the early European trading hours, bolstered by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid escalating military tensions and recent retaliatory airstrikes between the US and Iran.

Gold ease from two-week top as energy-driven inflation fears bolster Fed hike bets

Gold retreats slightly from a two-week high touched earlier this Wednesday, albeit it retains an intraday bullish bias through the first half of the European session. Hopes that US-Iran diplomacy could ease energy prices and temper hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations undermine the US Dollar, which is seen supporting the commodity. In fact, top negotiators for Iran and the US signaled that they have not walked away from talks.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.