|

EUR/JPY edges lower as BoJ considers December hike, ECB signals stability

  • EUR/JPY edges lower toward 177.50 amid muted market activity on Monday.
  • BoJ Governor Ueda leaves the door open for a possible December rate hike but stresses the need for more data.
  • Comments from ECB Governing Council members support the idea of a prolonged monetary status quo.

EUR/JPY trades lower on Monday, stabilizing around 177.50 at the time of writing, down 0.10% for the day, as Japanese markets were closed on Monday for a national holiday.

Last week, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept rates unchanged, with Governor Kazuo Ueda warning that global trade tensions could weigh on growth and corporate profits. He noted that a rate hike in December remains possible but said more data is needed before adjusting the degree of monetary easing. Investors remain cautious about the timing of any policy tightening, especially as Japan’s new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, appears committed to aggressive fiscal spending that could delay monetary normalization.

In the Eurozone, the latest data confirmed a limited improvement in manufacturing activity. The HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) stood at 50.0 in October, up from 49.8 in September, signaling a standstill in production. In Germany, the PMI came in at 49.6, while France’s rose to 48.8, Italy’s to 49.9, and Spain’s to 52.1. Although most figures remain below the expansion threshold, they suggest a gradual stabilization in the industrial sector.

On the monetary front, François Villeroy de Galhau, Governor of the Bank of France and European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker, said on Friday that the ECB is “in a good position” after its October decision but emphasized the need to maintain full flexibility amid market risks. His Latvian counterpart, Martins Kazaks, added that risks to inflation and growth are now more balanced, reinforcing the case for keeping current rates unchanged for longer. On Monday, the Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), Peter Kazimir, said that there is no need to alter or adjust the monetary policy as risks to inflation and the economy remain broadly balanced.

Against this backdrop, the EUR/JPY pair remains supported by rate differentials and a broadly positive market mood, while uncertainty surrounding the BoJ’s next move persists. However, investors remain alert to potential intervention from Japanese authorities should the Yen weaken further.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.20%0.14%0.12%0.20%-0.04%0.04%0.30%
EUR-0.20%-0.04%-0.12%0.00%-0.24%-0.15%0.13%
GBP-0.14%0.04%-0.06%0.04%-0.18%-0.11%0.18%
JPY-0.12%0.12%0.06%0.08%-0.14%0.07%0.22%
CAD-0.20%0.00%-0.04%-0.08%-0.26%-0.14%0.13%
AUD0.04%0.24%0.18%0.14%0.26%0.09%0.39%
NZD-0.04%0.15%0.11%-0.07%0.14%-0.09%0.29%
CHF-0.30%-0.13%-0.18%-0.22%-0.13%-0.39%-0.29%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains depressed below 1.3400 as escalating US-Iran tensions underpin USD

The GBP/USD pair finds some support near 1.3370 after a modest gap-down opening on Monday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.3400. Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to have stalled the pullback from a nearly four-week high, around the 1.3450 area, touched on Friday amid mixed fundamental cues.


EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1400 as US-Iran escalation boosts US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1400 during the early Asian session on Monday, pressured by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Federal Reserve Bank Governor Christopher Waller and European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel are set to speak later in the day.

Gold slides over 1% toward $4,050 on Fed-hike bets, firmer USD

Gold is losing over 1% to extend the decline toward $4,050 in the Asian session on Monday as further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran underpins the safe-haven US Dollar. Moreover, inflation worries stemming from rising Crude Oil prices cement expectations for a Fed rate hike in 2026 and further benefit the buck, exerting additional pressure on the yieldless bullion.

Week ahead: US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.