|

EUR/GBP recovers early lost ground, back around mid-0.8800s

The EUR/GBP cross traded with negative bias through early NA session on Tuesday, albeit has managed to bounce off lows and is currently trading in neutral territory around mid-0.8800s.

The British Pound's relative outperformance, through European session on Tuesday, against its European counterpart could be attributed to the British Retail Consortium (BRC) data that showed total like-for-like sales rose 2.1% y-o-y during the month of June. The data painted a slightly rosier picture for retail sales and provided a much-needed respite for the Sterling. 

However, a modest pick up in the demand for the shared currency, following upbeat comments by Benoît Cœuré, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, helped limit further losses. Cœuré was noted saying that QE has successfully boosted economic growth and inflation prospects, which reinforced the recent ECB “taper tantrum” and provided an additional boost to the shared currency. 

   •  ECB preview: Much ado about (almost) nothing - HSBC

The recovery move got an additional boost after BoE’s Broadbent, during a scheduled speech at the Scottish Council for Development and Industry, did not touch upon monetary policy or economic outlook, which eventually was seen weighing on the British Pound and lifted the cross to  the top end of daily trading range. 

From a technical perspective, the cross caught some fresh bids near a previous strong resistance, now turned support near 0.8815 level and hence, momentum back above mid-0.8800s would reaffirm near-term bullish bias and a follow through appreciating move, beyond yearly tops resistance near 0.8880 level, remains a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support remains near 0.8815 level, below which the cross is likely to weaken back below the 0.8800 handle and retest 0.8775 horizontal support. On the upside, a strong follow through buying interest beyond the 0.8850 region should lift the cross beyond the 0.8880 hurdle, and the 0.8900 handle, towards its next major hurdle near the 0.8930 region.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD gathers strength to near 1.3300; NFP data loom

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to near 1.3290 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The British Pound strengthens against the US Dollar as the UK's likely next Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, has eased market concerns by pledging strict fiscal discipline. The US Nonfarm Payrolls data for June will take center stage later on Thursday.


EUR/USD approaches 1.1400 as bearish flag remains in play

The EUR/USD pair ticks higher during the Asian session though it lacks bullish conviction as traders keenly await the release of the crucial US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1385 area and remain close to the weekly low, touched on Wednesday.

Gold trades with positive bias; Fed hike bets cap gains ahead of US NFP

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session, following the previous day's volatile price swings and a late pullback from an over one-week high. The US Dollar edges lower on the back of Wednesday's softer-than-expected US macro data and turns out to be a key factor supporting the commodity for the second consecutive day.

Ripple and Stellar build on recovery as traders turn cautiously bullish

Ripple and Stellar extend recovery as improving market sentiment supports a rebound. XRP trades above $1.05 while XLM climbs past $0.199. Traders should remain cautious, as mixed on-chain and derivatives data indicate a modest bullish bias, and further upside may depend on sustained buying momentum.

A preview of NFP

The number is of much greater importance than usual as the Fed moves away from a forecasting framework and towards a current-data/rebuilding-credibility framework.  While I have been pooh-poohing Warsh’s hawkish opener, I am also open to the idea that if he is serious about rebuilding credibility, he can find enough hawkish votes, and if June NFP is another hot one—July FOMC could be in play. 

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.