EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Pair fell below 1.4700, lowest since July

EUR/CAD fell 0.19% on Thursday, hitting 1.4700, the lowest since July 1st.
With indicators in deeply oversold territory, the EUR/CAD might consolidate to the upside, but the overall outlook remains negative.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The EUR/CAD declined by 0.19% to 1.4700 in Thursday's session, reaching its lowest level since July 1st. The currency pair has been falling steadily since then, amid increasing selling pressure as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The overall momentum appears to be bearish, with the pair likely to continue its downward trend in the near term, as per our previous technical analysis.

The technical indicators for the EUR/CAD pair suggest that the downtrend is likely to continue. The RSI is at 27, indicating oversold conditions, and is sloping down, suggesting that selling pressure is rising. The MACD is also suggesting that selling pressure is rising, as the histogram is red and rising. The overall outlook for the EUR/CAD is bearish, and the pair is likely to continue its decline in the near term but an upwards correction shouldn’t be taken off the table.

While deeply oversold conditions may lead to short-term consolidation, the outlook remains negative. Indicators such as the RSI and MACD suggest continued selling pressure, and the pair is likely to decline further.

EUR/CAD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold rebounds from one-week low as Israel-Lebanon truce pressures safe-haven USD

Gold gains some positive traction on Thursday and climbs to the $4,475 area during the Asian session, reversing a major part of the previous day's slide to a one-week low. The Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and supports the commodity.

Ethereum: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders. The Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously idle tokens or long-term holders' coins, spiked over the past two days as prices declined, indicating increased selling activity among this cohort.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar

The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.